Good People

033340 · KOSDAQ · ₩033340 · 좋은사람들

₩2,340▲ ₩418 (21.75%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩66B
Equity value
−₩84B
WACC
6.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,340, the model needs an operating margin of 7.0% every year (it uses −5.2%).
  • Margins ranged from −13.9% to 1.6% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−5.2%).

Revenue growth

  • -3.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -5.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 38.6%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -2.34, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩71B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩19B
+ Stakes and investments
₩1B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
19,390,111
Share price
₩2,340
Market cap
₩45B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩83B₩90B₩73B₩68B₩67B₩67B₩68B₩70B
Growth2.6%9.2%−19.5%−3.4%−1.8%−0.2%1.4%3.0%
EBIT₩1.3B₩1.3B−₩6.1B−₩3.6B−₩3.5B−₩3.5B−₩3.5B−₩3.6B
EBIT margin1.6%1.4%−8.4%−5.2%−5.2%−5.2%−5.2%−5.2%
After-tax EBIT₩934M₩940M−₩4.4B−₩2.6B−₩2.5B−₩2.5B−₩2.6B−₩2.6B
+ Depreciation———₩888M₩872M₩870M₩882M₩909M
− Capital spending₩1.5B₩797M₩1.6B₩1.2B₩1.1B₩1.1B₩1.2B₩1.2B
− Working capital−₩6B−₩2.4B₩2.4B−₩928M−₩475M−₩52M₩362M₩786M
Free cash flow———−₩1.9B−₩2.3B−₩2.7B−₩3.2B−₩3.7B
Discount factor———0.9400.8830.8300.7790.732
Present value———−₩1.8B−₩2.1B−₩2.3B−₩2.5B−₩2.7B

Terminal value −₩75B, worth −₩55B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩2,780 a share)Now 0.84×₩3,0001.08×₩8,8363.18×₩14,6045.25×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.4%—————
5.9%—————
6.4%—————
6.9%—————
7.4%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩45B
Enterprise value
₩59B
P/E
—
P/B
0.8×
P/S
0.6×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩8,755₩3,235₩9,376₩9,376₩9,376
Market cap₩170B₩63B₩182B₩182B₩182B
P/E—184.1×65.4×——
P/B3.0×1.1×3.2×3.4×3.8×
P/S2.3×0.7×2.2×2.3×2.0×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Good People—0.8×0.6×—0.0%
F&F4.5×1.1×1.2×—4.4%
LF5.6×0.4×0.3×4.6×3.2%
Chokwang Leather44.5×0.7×4.9×59.3×0.0%
Handsome6.9×0.3×0.3×—0.0%
Hansae9.4×0.4×0.2×—0.0%
JS4.0×0.6×0.2×—5.3%
Similar companies (median)6.3×0.5×0.3×31.9×1.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Good People / 좋은사람들 / 033340 / KRX:033340

Source: KRX statistical information