Fino피노
033790 · KOSDAQ · ₩033790 · 피노
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩4,134
vs the current price (₩7,250)
- Enterprise value
- ₩265B
- Equity value
- ₩356B
- WACC
- 7.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 43% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩7,250, the model needs an operating margin of 8.8% every year (it uses 5.4%).
- Or revenue growth +21.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from −30.5% to 17.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,936
- −73.3%
- Base
- ₩4,134
- −43.0%
- Bull
- ₩7,931
- +9.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.4%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (185.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (185.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (185.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (185.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (185.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 20.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.7
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.55, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩376B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩114B
- − Minority interests
- ₩23B
- Shares
- 86,012,953
- Share price
- ₩7,250
- Market cap
- ₩624B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩7B | ₩31B | ₩265B | ₩470B | ₩562B | ₩640B | ₩695B | ₩716B |
| Growth | −38.9% | 340.3% | 763.1% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩2.1B | ₩7.6M | ₩8.8B | ₩25B | ₩30B | ₩35B | ₩38B | ₩39B |
| EBIT margin | −30.5% | 0.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩1.5B | ₩5.5M | ₩6.4B | ₩18B | ₩22B | ₩25B | ₩27B | ₩28B |
| + Depreciation | ₩301M | ₩283M | ₩333M | ₩8.5B | ₩10B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩19B | ₩22B | ₩26B | ₩28B | ₩29B |
| − Working capital | ₩1B | ₩2.4B | ₩22B | ₩20B | ₩19B | ₩16B | ₩11B | ₩4.3B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩11B | −₩9.4B | −₩5.4B | ₩594M | ₩7.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.927 | 0.859 | 0.796 | 0.738 | 0.684 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩11B | −₩8.1B | −₩4.3B | ₩439M | ₩5.4B |
Terminal value ₩412B, worth ₩282B today: 106% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,039 a share)Now 3.56× | ₩8,9354.38× | ₩12,9166.34× | ₩24,23111.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.9% | ₩4,468 | ₩4,706 | ₩4,992 | ₩5,342 | ₩5,780 |
| 7.4% | ₩4,109 | ₩4,298 | ₩4,522 | ₩4,790 | ₩5,118 |
| 7.9% | ₩3,804 | ₩3,956 | ₩4,134 | ₩4,343 | ₩4,594 |
| 8.4% | ₩3,542 | ₩3,666 | ₩3,809 | ₩3,974 | ₩4,170 |
| 8.9% | ₩3,315 | ₩3,417 | ₩3,533 | ₩3,665 | ₩3,820 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩624B
- Enterprise value
- ₩509B
- P/E
- 226.5×
- P/B
- 3.6×
- P/S
- 1.7×
- EV/EBITDA
- 25.1×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,500 | ₩5,080 | ₩1,488 | ₩1,658 | ₩1,658 |
| Market cap | ₩473B | ₩437B | ₩128B | ₩143B | ₩143B |
| P/E | — | — | — | 82.6× | 63.7× |
| P/B | 4.8× | 7.8× | 5.9× | 6.1× | 6.6× |
| P/S | 1.8× | 14.2× | 18.4× | 12.5× | 12.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | 46.5× | 1,409.8× | — | 74.6× | 60.5× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fino | 226.5× | 3.6× | 1.7× | 25.1× | 0.0% |
| LG Energy Solution | — | 4.0× | 3.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung SDI | 1,087.4× | 1.7× | 2.9× | — | 0.0% |
| POSCO Future M | 320.4× | 3.4× | 5.0× | — | 0.2% |
| Ecopro BM | 211.6× | 5.2× | 4.0× | — | 0.1% |
| L&F | — | 4.4× | 1.2× | 15.2× | 0.0% |
| DN Automotive | 6.2× | 1.0× | 0.6× | — | 2.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 266.0× | 3.7× | 3.2× | 15.2× | 0.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Fino / 피노 / 033790 / KRX:033790
Source: KRX statistical information