LG Display

034220 · KOSPI · ₩LGD · LG디스플레이

₩7,620▲ ₩200 (2.70%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩13T
Equity value
−₩27T
WACC
5.1%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩7,620, the model needs an operating margin of 3.8% every year (it uses −1.4%).
  • Margins ranged from −11.8% to 7.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Start from

Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−1.4%).

Revenue growth

  • -0.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -1.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 19.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 12.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -5.6%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.8

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.7, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩25T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩12T
+ Stakes and investments
₩36B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩1.3T
Shares
500,000,000
Share price
₩7,620
Market cap
₩3.8T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩21T₩27T₩26T₩25T₩25T₩26T₩26T₩27T
Growth−18.4%24.8%−3.0%−0.4%0.4%1.3%2.1%3.0%
EBIT−₩2.5T−₩561B₩517B−₩353B−₩354B−₩359B−₩366B−₩377B
EBIT margin−11.8%−2.1%2.0%−1.4%−1.4%−1.4%−1.4%−1.4%
After-tax EBIT−₩1.8T−₩406B₩375B−₩256B−₩257B−₩260B−₩266B−₩274B
+ Depreciation₩4.2T——₩5T₩5T₩5.1T₩5.2T₩5.3T
− Capital spending₩4.2T₩2.9T₩2.1T₩3.3T₩3.3T₩3.3T₩3.4T₩3.5T
− Working capital−₩1.4T₩1.1T₩842B₩5.7B−₩5.6B−₩18B−₩30B−₩44B
Free cash flow−₩331B——₩1.5T₩1.5T₩1.5T₩1.6T₩1.6T
Discount factor———0.9510.9050.8610.8190.779
Present value———₩1.4T₩1.4T₩1.3T₩1.3T₩1.3T

Terminal value −₩25T, worth −₩20T today: 150% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩12,602 a share)Now 0.60×₩6,8300.54×₩8,9980.71×₩11,6630.93×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
4.1%—————
4.6%—————
5.1%—————
5.6%—————
6.1%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩3.8T
Enterprise value
₩16T
P/E
—
P/B
0.6×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩11,810₩9,130₩11,776₩11,508₩22,738
Market cap₩5.9T₩4.6T₩5.9T₩5.8T₩11T
P/E26.1×———9.6×
P/B0.9×0.7×0.8×0.6×0.9×
P/S0.2×0.2×0.3×0.2×0.4×
EV/EBITDA——11.4×——
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
LG Display—0.6×0.2×—0.0%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics96.8×9.5×7.8×—0.2%
Doosan39.2×5.5×0.7×—0.4%
Hanwha Systems71.2×2.8×3.0×—0.8%
LG Innotek13.1×1.4×0.4×—0.5%
Isupetasys35.4×8.3×5.4×—0.0%
Daeduck Electronics44.8×7.0×5.0×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)42.0×6.3×4.0×—0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: LG Display / LG디스플레이 / 034220 / KRX:034220

Source: KRX statistical information