LG DisplayLG디스플레이
034220 · KOSPI · ₩LGD · LG디스플레이
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩13T
- Equity value
- −₩27T
- WACC
- 5.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩7,620, the model needs an operating margin of 3.8% every year (it uses −1.4%).
- Margins ranged from −11.8% to 7.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−1.4%).
Revenue growth
- -0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -1.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 19.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 12.9%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -5.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.8
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.7, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩25T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩12T
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩36B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩1.3T
- Shares
- 500,000,000
- Share price
- ₩7,620
- Market cap
- ₩3.8T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩21T | ₩27T | ₩26T | ₩25T | ₩25T | ₩26T | ₩26T | ₩27T |
| Growth | −18.4% | 24.8% | −3.0% | −0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩2.5T | −₩561B | ₩517B | −₩353B | −₩354B | −₩359B | −₩366B | −₩377B |
| EBIT margin | −11.8% | −2.1% | 2.0% | −1.4% | −1.4% | −1.4% | −1.4% | −1.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩1.8T | −₩406B | ₩375B | −₩256B | −₩257B | −₩260B | −₩266B | −₩274B |
| + Depreciation | ₩4.2T | — | — | ₩5T | ₩5T | ₩5.1T | ₩5.2T | ₩5.3T |
| − Capital spending | ₩4.2T | ₩2.9T | ₩2.1T | ₩3.3T | ₩3.3T | ₩3.3T | ₩3.4T | ₩3.5T |
| − Working capital | −₩1.4T | ₩1.1T | ₩842B | ₩5.7B | −₩5.6B | −₩18B | −₩30B | −₩44B |
| Free cash flow | −₩331B | — | — | ₩1.5T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.6T |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.951 | 0.905 | 0.861 | 0.819 | 0.779 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.4T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.3T |
Terminal value −₩25T, worth −₩20T today: 150% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩12,602 a share)Now 0.60× | ₩6,8300.54× | ₩8,9980.71× | ₩11,6630.93× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩3.8T
- Enterprise value
- ₩16T
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩11,810 | ₩9,130 | ₩11,776 | ₩11,508 | ₩22,738 |
| Market cap | ₩5.9T | ₩4.6T | ₩5.9T | ₩5.8T | ₩11T |
| P/E | 26.1× | — | — | — | 9.6× |
| P/B | 0.9× | 0.7× | 0.8× | 0.6× | 0.9× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.2× | 0.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | 11.4× | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LG Display | — | 0.6× | 0.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 96.8× | 9.5× | 7.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 39.2× | 5.5× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 71.2× | 2.8× | 3.0× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.1× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 35.4× | 8.3× | 5.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 44.8× | 7.0× | 5.0× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 42.0× | 6.3× | 4.0× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: LG Display / LG디스플레이 / 034220 / KRX:034220
Source: KRX statistical information