Kangwon Land

035250 · KOSPI · ₩035250 · 강원랜드

₩13,820▲ ₩180 (1.32%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩16,427

vs the current price (₩13,820)

Enterprise value
₩3.3T
Equity value
₩3.5T
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩11,104
−19.7%
Base
₩16,427
+18.9%
Bull
₩25,396
+83.8%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (16.9%).

Revenue growth

  • 5.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 16.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 5.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 7.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.05, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.5T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩205B
+ Stakes and investments
₩47B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
213,940,500
Share price
₩13,820
Market cap
₩3T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1.4T₩1.4T₩1.5T₩1.5T₩1.6T₩1.7T₩1.7T₩1.8T
Growth9.3%2.8%3.5%5.1%4.6%4.1%3.5%3.0%
EBIT₩282B₩286B₩235B₩262B₩274B₩285B₩295B₩304B
EBIT margin20.3%20.0%15.9%16.9%16.9%16.9%16.9%16.9%
After-tax EBIT₩205B₩207B₩171B₩190B₩199B₩207B₩214B₩220B
+ Depreciation₩80B₩78B₩84B₩87B₩91B₩94B₩98B₩101B
− Capital spending₩71B₩119B₩122B₩112B₩117B₩121B₩126B₩129B
− Working capital₩110B−₩308B₩2T₩30B₩29B₩27B₩24B₩21B
Free cash flow₩103B₩474B−₩1.9T₩135B₩144B₩153B₩162B₩171B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩126B₩125B₩124B₩122B₩120B

Terminal value ₩3.8T, worth ₩2.6T today: 81% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩18,274 a share)Now 0.76×₩15,5390.85×₩18,0290.99×₩31,1911.71×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,544 a share)Now 8.95×₩12,8308.31×₩17,14211.1×₩53,99535.0×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,054 a share)Now 6.73×₩17,0708.31×₩22,80811.1×₩71,84235.0×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩17,445₩18,640₩20,109₩21,961₩24,369
6.8%₩15,977₩16,929₩18,076₩19,486₩21,264
7.3%₩14,743₩15,513₩16,427₩17,528₩18,882
7.8%₩13,691₩14,324₩15,063₩15,939₩16,996
8.3%₩12,785₩13,310₩13,916₩14,625₩15,466

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩3T
Enterprise value
₩2.8T
P/E
9.0×
P/B
0.8×
P/S
2.0×
EV/EBITDA
9.0×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩18,950₩15,970₩16,000₩23,200₩24,050
Market cap₩4.1T₩3.4T₩3.4T₩5T₩5.1T
P/E12.7×7.5×10.0×42.9×—
P/B1.0×0.9×0.9×1.5×1.6×
P/S2.7×2.4×2.5×3.9×6.5×
EV/EBITDA12.1×8.7×9.0×16.5×190.6×
Dividend yield0.0%0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Kangwon Land9.0×0.8×2.0×9.0×0.0%
Paradise11.7×0.5×0.7×—1.6%
Seobu T&D7.3×0.7×2.4×10.8×0.9%
Grand Korea Leisure10.5×1.1×1.1×4.6×5.2%
Ananti—0.6×1.6×—0.0%
Mona Yongpyong—0.3×0.5×—0.0%
Namhwa Industrial9.1×0.3×3.7×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)9.8×0.5×1.4×7.7×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Kangwon Land / 강원랜드 / 035250 / KRX:035250

Source: KRX statistical information