NAVERNAVER
035420 · KOSPI · ₩NAVER · NAVER
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩285,249
vs the current price (₩174,900)
- Enterprise value
- ₩40T
- Equity value
- ₩43T
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 63% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩174,900, the model needs an operating margin of 10.5% every year (it uses 17.5%).
- Or revenue growth −11.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
- Today's P/E is 13.1× against a typical 19.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩192,071
- +9.8%
- Base
- ₩285,249
- +63.1%
- Bull
- ₩437,507
- +150.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (17.5%).
Revenue growth
- 13.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 10.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 17.5%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 7.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.4, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩13T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩3.2T
- Shares
- 152,108,892
- Share price
- ₩174,900
- Market cap
- ₩27T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩9.7T | ₩11T | ₩12T | ₩15T | ₩16T | ₩18T | ₩19T | ₩19T |
| Growth | 17.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩1.5T | ₩2T | ₩2.2T | ₩2.6T | ₩2.9T | ₩3.1T | ₩3.3T | ₩3.4T |
| EBIT margin | 15.4% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩1.1T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.9T | ₩2.1T | ₩2.2T | ₩2.4T | ₩2.4T |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩928B | ₩1T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.2T | ₩1.2T |
| − Capital spending | ₩692B | ₩580B | ₩1.3T | ₩1.1T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.5T |
| − Working capital | −₩2.5T | −₩551B | −₩245B | −₩176B | −₩161B | −₩136B | −₩99B | −₩56B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩1.8T | ₩2T | ₩2.1T | ₩2.2T | ₩2.2T |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.7T | ₩1.7T | ₩1.7T | ₩1.7T | ₩1.6T |
Terminal value ₩45T, worth ₩32T today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩194,200 a share)Now 0.90× | ₩211,5171.09× | ₩252,0631.30× | ₩369,3751.90× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩13,303 a share)Now 13.1× | ₩208,75515.7× | ₩261,07319.6× | ₩534,97140.2× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩18,372 a share)Now 9.52× | ₩288,28715.7× | ₩360,53819.6× | ₩738,78740.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩292,903 | ₩317,472 | ₩347,754 | ₩386,001 | ₩435,824 |
| 6.8% | ₩269,007 | ₩289,039 | ₩313,246 | ₩343,083 | ₩380,767 |
| 7.3% | ₩248,909 | ₩265,511 | ₩285,249 | ₩309,102 | ₩338,502 |
| 7.8% | ₩231,772 | ₩245,722 | ₩262,083 | ₩281,534 | ₩305,039 |
| 8.3% | ₩216,987 | ₩228,848 | ₩242,597 | ₩258,720 | ₩277,889 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩27T
- Enterprise value
- ₩22T
- P/E
- 13.1×
- P/B
- 0.9×
- P/S
- 2.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩242,500 | ₩198,900 | ₩224,000 | ₩177,500 | ₩378,500 |
| Market cap | ₩37T | ₩30T | ₩34T | ₩27T | ₩58T |
| P/E | 18.9× | 15.7× | 33.7× | 35.5× | 3.5× |
| P/B | 1.3× | 1.2× | 1.5× | 1.2× | 2.4× |
| P/S | 3.1× | 2.8× | 3.5× | 3.3× | 8.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.1% | 0.6% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVER | 13.1× | 0.9× | 2.1× | — | 1.5% |
| Kakao | 37.5× | 1.1× | 1.6× | — | 0.3% |
| Daou Technology | 1.9× | 0.4× | 0.0× | — | 5.4% |
| NICE Information Service | 11.6× | 2.1× | 1.6× | 6.8× | 3.0% |
| Kinx | 35.9× | 4.0× | 5.2× | 15.7× | 0.3% |
| Cafe24 | 11.3× | 1.5× | 1.3× | — | 0.0% |
| coocon | 11.0× | 1.3× | 3.5× | — | 1.2% |
| Similar companies (median) | 11.4× | 1.4× | 1.6× | 6.8× | 0.8% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: NAVER / 035420 / KRX:035420
Source: KRX statistical information