KZ PrecisionKZ정밀
036560 · KOSDAQ · ₩036560 · KZ정밀
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩14,008
vs the current price (₩10,890)
- Enterprise value
- ₩207B
- Equity value
- ₩221B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩9,175
- −15.7%
- Base
- ₩14,008
- +28.6%
- Bull
- ₩22,151
- +103.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (12.3%).
Revenue growth
- 7.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (7.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 12.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 28.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.04, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩114B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩14B
- Shares
- 15,750,000
- Share price
- ₩10,890
- Market cap
- ₩172B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩139B | ₩113B | ₩111B | ₩122B | ₩130B | ₩137B | ₩143B | ₩147B |
| Growth | 55.7% | −18.7% | −2.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩21B | ₩15B | ₩10B | ₩15B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩18B |
| EBIT margin | 15.0% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩15B | ₩11B | ₩7.4B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| + Depreciation | ₩2.5B | ₩2.5B | — | ₩2.4B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.9B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | ₩803M | ₩857M | ₩911M | ₩959M | ₩998M | ₩1B |
| − Working capital | ₩964M | −₩4.8B | −₩3.8B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.2B | ₩2B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩14B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩9.4B | ₩9.6B | ₩9.7B | ₩9.7B | ₩9.6B |
Terminal value ₩227B, worth ₩159B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩31,963 a share)Now 0.34× | ₩12,3700.39× | ₩16,6500.52× | ₩19,9880.63× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,140 a share)Now 9.55× | ₩8,1977.19× | ₩12,84411.3× | ₩21,35318.7× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,741 a share)Now 6.25× | ₩12,5167.19× | ₩19,61111.3× | ₩32,60318.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩14,846 | ₩15,808 | ₩16,988 | ₩18,469 | ₩20,385 |
| 6.9% | ₩13,652 | ₩14,421 | ₩15,346 | ₩16,479 | ₩17,902 |
| 7.4% | ₩12,645 | ₩13,269 | ₩14,008 | ₩14,897 | ₩15,985 |
| 7.9% | ₩11,784 | ₩12,298 | ₩12,898 | ₩13,607 | ₩14,460 |
| 8.4% | ₩11,040 | ₩11,468 | ₩11,961 | ₩12,537 | ₩13,218 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩172B
- Enterprise value
- ₩158B
- P/E
- 9.5×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 1.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 7.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩15,070 | ₩12,540 | ₩12,730 | ₩11,900 | ₩9,060 |
| Market cap | ₩237B | ₩198B | ₩200B | ₩187B | ₩143B |
| P/E | 25.5× | 10.3× | 6.9× | 12.1× | 12.1× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.4× |
| P/S | 2.1× | 1.8× | 1.4× | 2.1× | 1.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | 10.9× | 7.3× | 12.3× | 11.7× |
| Dividend yield | 5.3% | 6.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KZ Precision | 9.5× | 0.3× | 1.5× | — | 7.3% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 200.6× | 4.5× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 84.5× | 25.1× | 34.0× | 76.1× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,135.2× | 13.9× | 36.4× | 2,185.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,308.5× | 55.2× | 162.6× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.1× | 6.8× | 11.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,805.1× | 923.8× | 743.7× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 667.9× | 19.5× | 35.2× | 1,130.9× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: KZ Precision / KZ정밀 / 036560 / KRX:036560
Source: KRX statistical information