NC

036570 · KOSPI · ₩036570 · NC

₩198,700▼ ₩2,800 (1.39%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩125,059

vs the current price (₩198,700)

Enterprise value
₩1.7T
Equity value
₩2.7T
WACC
8.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 37% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩198,700, the model needs an operating margin of 17.7% every year (it uses 9.6%).
  • Or revenue growth +19.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
  • Analysts' forecasts for 2026: revenue ₩2.9T, operating profit ₩330B (11.5% margin) (2 brokers). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
  • Analysts' forecasts for 2027: revenue ₩3.3T, operating profit ₩292B (9.0% margin) (2 brokers). The model starts from the last 12 months reported.
  • Margins ranged from −6.9% to 21.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 67% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 6.9× against a typical 18.1× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩95,323
−52.0%
Base
₩125,059
−37.1%
Bull
₩174,988
−11.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (9.6%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-16.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 9.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 6.3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 7.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 25.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.71

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.56, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩2.1T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩1T
+ Stakes and investments
₩63B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩42B
Shares
21,544,022
Share price
₩198,700
Market cap
₩4.3T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1.8T₩1.6T₩1.5T₩1.9T₩1.8T₩1.7T₩1.7T₩1.7T
Growth−30.8%−11.3%−4.5%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩137B−₩109B₩16B₩181B₩169B₩163B₩162B₩167B
EBIT margin7.7%−6.9%1.1%9.6%9.6%9.6%9.6%9.6%
After-tax EBIT₩100B−₩79B₩12B₩131B₩122B₩118B₩118B₩121B
+ Depreciation₩110B₩106B₩91B₩119B₩111B₩107B₩107B₩110B
− Capital spending₩159B₩95B₩115B₩141B₩132B₩127B₩127B₩131B
− Working capital−₩406B−₩402B₩733B−₩53B−₩32B−₩16B−₩865M₩13B
Free cash flow₩456B₩334B−₩745B₩162B₩133B₩113B₩98B₩87B
Discount factor———0.9260.8570.7940.7350.680
Present value———₩150B₩114B₩90B₩72B₩59B

Terminal value ₩1.7T, worth ₩1.2T today: 71% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩164,331 a share)Now 1.21×₩195,2591.19×₩254,1111.55×₩513,1563.12×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩28,673 a share)Now 6.93×₩364,39612.7×₩519,25318.1×₩959,24633.5×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩23,141 a share)Now 8.59×₩294,09212.7×₩419,07218.1×₩774,17533.5×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.0%₩130,097₩134,396₩139,537₩145,801₩153,609
7.5%₩124,058₩127,541₩131,644₩136,550₩142,528
8.0%₩118,878₩121,737₩125,059₩128,971₩133,650
8.5%₩114,386₩116,757₩119,482₩122,648₩126,377
9.0%₩110,453₩112,438₩114,697₩117,291₩120,306

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩4.3T
Enterprise value
₩3.1T
P/E
6.9×
P/B
1.2×
P/S
2.0×
EV/EBITDA
8.3×
Dividend yield
0.6%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩201,500₩183,100₩240,500₩448,000₩643,000
Market cap₩4.3T₩3.9T₩5.2T₩9.7T₩14T
P/E12.5×41.9×24.4×22.1×35.0×
P/B1.3×1.3×1.6×3.0×4.4×
P/S2.9×2.5×2.9×3.8×6.0×
EV/EBITDA32.9×—15.7×13.2×27.3×
Dividend yield0.6%0.8%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
NC6.9×1.2×2.0×8.3×0.6%
Hyundai Autoever46.8×4.7×2.0×—0.6%
Krafton10.0×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
Netmarble7.1×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss7.9×2.0×3.0×5.1×0.0%
Shift UP9.0×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
NHN22.9×1.1×0.6×3.9×0.0%
Similar companies (median)9.5×1.5×1.9×4.5×0.3%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: NC / 036570 / KRX:036570

Source: KRX statistical information