Sejong Telecom세종텔레콤
036630 · KOSDAQ · ₩036630 · 세종텔레콤
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩186B
- Equity value
- −₩234B
- WACC
- 6.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩6,980, the model needs an operating margin of 5.0% every year (it uses −2.3%).
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−2.3%).
Revenue growth
- -4.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -2.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 10.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 12.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.21, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩278B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩69B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩23B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩2.3B
- Shares
- 14,000,000
- Share price
- ₩6,980
- Market cap
- ₩98B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩339B | ₩371B | ₩284B | ₩266B | ₩259B | ₩257B | ₩261B | ₩268B |
| Growth | 4.6% | 9.5% | −23.5% | −4.3% | −2.5% | −0.7% | 1.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩3.1B | −₩12B | −₩11B | −₩6.1B | −₩6B | −₩5.9B | −₩6B | −₩6.2B |
| EBIT margin | −0.9% | −3.3% | −3.8% | −2.3% | −2.3% | −2.3% | −2.3% | −2.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩2.3B | −₩8.8B | −₩7.8B | −₩4.4B | −₩4.3B | −₩4.3B | −₩4.3B | −₩4.5B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩27B | ₩26B | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩27B |
| − Capital spending | ₩25B | ₩62B | ₩40B | ₩34B | ₩33B | ₩33B | ₩33B | ₩34B |
| − Working capital | −₩129B | −₩915M | −₩17B | −₩48M | −₩27M | −₩7.3M | ₩12M | ₩31M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩11B | −₩11B | −₩11B | −₩11B | −₩11B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.944 | 0.891 | 0.841 | 0.793 | 0.749 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩10B | −₩9.6B | −₩9B | −₩8.6B | −₩8.4B |
Terminal value −₩186B, worth −₩140B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩11,777 a share)Now 0.59× | ₩1,4120.12× | ₩1,8950.16× | ₩7,0120.60× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩98B
- Enterprise value
- ₩157B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 4.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩9,910 | ₩2,039 | ₩3,869 | ₩3,325 | ₩5,892 |
| Market cap | ₩139B | ₩29B | ₩54B | ₩47B | ₩82B |
| P/E | 17.1× | — | 1.2× | — | 2.7× |
| P/B | 0.8× | 0.1× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.1× | 0.2× | 0.1× | 0.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sejong Telecom | — | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 4.3% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction | 22.8× | 1.1× | 0.4× | — | 0.9% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction | — | 1.6× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| GS Engineering & Construction | 18.8× | 0.5× | 0.2× | — | 1.7% |
| DL E&C | 3.5× | 0.4× | 0.3× | — | 1.6% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering | 14.0× | 1.4× | 1.1× | 7.9× | 0.0% |
| Ipark Hyundai Development | 8.6× | 0.5× | 0.4× | — | 2.9% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.0× | 0.8× | 0.4× | 7.9× | 1.2% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Sejong Telecom / 세종텔레콤 / 036630 / KRX:036630
Source: KRX statistical information