Commax코맥스
036690 · KOSDAQ · ₩036690 · 코맥스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩73B
- Equity value
- −₩93B
- WACC
- 6.9%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,885, the model needs an operating margin of 15.3% every year (it uses −7.6%).
- Margins ranged from −16.7% to −3.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−7.6%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-18.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-18.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-18.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-18.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-18.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -7.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 0.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.6%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩82B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩23B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩4.2B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 43,567,455
- Share price
- ₩2,885
- Market cap
- ₩126B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩137B | ₩117B | ₩85B | ₩74B | ₩69B | ₩67B | ₩66B | ₩68B |
| Growth | −12.2% | −14.5% | −27.3% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩6.4B | −₩12B | −₩14B | −₩5.6B | −₩5.2B | −₩5.1B | −₩5B | −₩5.2B |
| EBIT margin | −4.7% | −10.5% | −16.7% | −7.6% | −7.6% | −7.6% | −7.6% | −7.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩4.7B | −₩8.9B | −₩10B | −₩4.1B | −₩3.8B | −₩3.7B | −₩3.7B | −₩3.8B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩370M | ₩345M | ₩333M | ₩332M | ₩342M |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.1B | ₩563M | ₩378M | ₩444M | ₩414M | ₩399M | ₩399M | ₩411M |
| − Working capital | −₩3.4B | −₩29B | −₩12B | −₩49M | −₩30M | −₩14M | −₩798,814 | ₩12M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩4.1B | −₩3.8B | −₩3.7B | −₩3.7B | −₩3.9B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.936 | 0.876 | 0.820 | 0.767 | 0.718 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩3.8B | −₩3.4B | −₩3B | −₩2.9B | −₩2.8B |
Terminal value −₩80B, worth −₩57B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩787 a share)Now 3.66× | ₩2,2682.88× | ₩2,8563.63× | ₩4,3755.56× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩126B
- Enterprise value
- ₩149B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 3.7×
- P/S
- 1.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,885 | ₩2,885 | ₩3,275 | ₩2,995 | ₩5,540 |
| Market cap | ₩126B | ₩126B | ₩143B | ₩130B | ₩241B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | — |
| P/B | 12.5× | 4.9× | 3.6× | 2.7× | 4.5× |
| P/S | 1.5× | 1.1× | 1.0× | 0.8× | 1.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commax | — | 3.7× | 1.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electronics | 9.1× | 2.4× | 2.8× | — | 0.7% |
| LG Electronics | 24.3× | 0.9× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Vision | 20.8× | 2.6× | 1.3× | — | 0.0% |
| RFHIC | 41.5× | 3.7× | 6.8× | — | 0.8% |
| KMW | — | 5.3× | 8.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Intellian Technologies | 13.9× | 2.1× | 1.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 20.8× | 2.5× | 2.2× | — | 0.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Commax / 코맥스 / 036690 / KRX:036690
Source: KRX statistical information