NICE Information & Telecommunication나이스정보통신
036800 · KOSDAQ · ₩036800 · 나이스정보통신
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩30,721
vs the current price (₩7,190)
- Enterprise value
- ₩1.1T
- Equity value
- ₩1.4T
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 327% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩7,190, the model needs an operating margin of −0.1% every year (it uses 5.2%).
- Today's P/E is 5.7× against a typical 5.5× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩17,621
- +145.1%
- Base
- ₩30,721
- +327.3%
- Bull
- ₩53,018
- +637.4%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.2%).
Revenue growth
- 10.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 0.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.17, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩1.2T
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩191B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩110B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩52B
- Shares
- 45,500,000
- Share price
- ₩7,190
- Market cap
- ₩327B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩892B | ₩975B | ₩1.1T | ₩1.3T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.5T | ₩1.6T | ₩1.6T |
| Growth | 10.8% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩37B | ₩40B | ₩55B | ₩68B | ₩73B | ₩79B | ₩82B | ₩85B |
| EBIT margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩27B | ₩29B | ₩40B | ₩49B | ₩53B | ₩57B | ₩60B | ₩62B |
| + Depreciation | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩9.2B | ₩14B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩18B |
| − Capital spending | ₩6.2B | — | ₩0 | ₩3.9B | ₩4.2B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.9B |
| − Working capital | −₩140B | ₩57B | ₩20B | −₩13B | −₩11B | −₩9.8B | −₩7.4B | −₩4.8B |
| Free cash flow | ₩171B | — | ₩29B | ₩72B | ₩76B | ₩79B | ₩80B | ₩79B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩67B | ₩66B | ₩64B | ₩60B | ₩56B |
Terminal value ₩1.2T, worth ₩837B today: 73% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩9,195 a share)Now 0.78× | ₩4,6140.50× | ₩5,8210.63× | ₩8,6380.94× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,262 a share)Now 5.70× | ₩6,1994.91× | ₩6,9305.49× | ₩7,5615.99× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,649 a share)Now 4.36× | ₩8,0984.91× | ₩9,0535.49× | ₩9,8785.99× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩31,108 | ₩33,387 | ₩36,189 | ₩39,717 | ₩44,292 |
| 6.9% | ₩29,038 | ₩30,914 | ₩33,177 | ₩35,959 | ₩39,462 |
| 7.4% | ₩27,289 | ₩28,858 | ₩30,721 | ₩32,967 | ₩35,730 |
| 7.9% | ₩25,792 | ₩27,121 | ₩28,679 | ₩30,528 | ₩32,759 |
| 8.4% | ₩24,495 | ₩25,635 | ₩26,955 | ₩28,501 | ₩30,337 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩327B
- Enterprise value
- ₩125B
- P/E
- 5.7×
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- 1.8×
- Dividend yield
- 3.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,070 | ₩3,588 | ₩4,310 | ₩5,310 | ₩5,900 |
| Market cap | ₩231B | ₩163B | ₩196B | ₩242B | ₩268B |
| P/E | 5.4× | 4.3× | 6.5× | 5.9× | 6.7× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.8× | 1.0× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | 0.5× | 0.7× |
| Dividend yield | 4.3% | 4.5% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NICE Information & Telecommunication | 5.7× | 0.8× | 0.3× | 1.8× | 3.1% |
| SK Telecom | 22.0× | 1.1× | 1.0× | 4.9× | 2.2% |
| KT | 8.9× | 0.6× | 0.4× | — | 5.2% |
| LG Uplus | 11.1× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 2.8× | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Futurenet | 36.7× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 4.9% |
| Korea Information & Communication | 8.0× | 0.8× | 0.3× | 2.1× | 3.8% |
| Bucket Studio | — | 1.4× | 8.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 11.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | 2.8× | 3.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: NICE Information & Telecommunication / 나이스정보통신 / 036800 / KRX:036800
Source: KRX statistical information