Jusung Engineering주성엔지니어링
036930 · KOSDAQ · ₩036930 · 주성엔지니어링
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩8,516
vs the current price (₩165,000)
- Enterprise value
- ₩317B
- Equity value
- ₩396B
- WACC
- 9.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 95% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- Margins ranged from 10.1% to 28.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 1058.2× against a typical 14.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩6,416
- −96.1%
- Base
- ₩8,516
- −94.8%
- Bull
- ₩11,682
- −92.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (17.8%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-10.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 17.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 5.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 5.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.94
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.92, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩226B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩79B
- Shares
- 46,481,121
- Share price
- ₩165,000
- Market cap
- ₩7.7T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩285B | ₩409B | ₩311B | ₩203B | ₩190B | ₩183B | ₩183B | ₩188B |
| Growth | −35.0% | 43.8% | −24.1% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩29B | ₩97B | ₩31B | ₩36B | ₩34B | ₩33B | ₩33B | ₩33B |
| EBIT margin | 10.2% | 23.7% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 17.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩21B | ₩70B | ₩23B | ₩26B | ₩24B | ₩24B | ₩24B | ₩24B |
| + Depreciation | ₩17B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩11B | ₩9.9B | ₩9.5B | ₩9.5B | ₩9.8B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩8.1B | ₩7.6B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.5B |
| − Working capital | ₩35B | −₩116B | ₩63B | −₩1.2B | −₩722M | −₩352M | −₩19M | ₩290M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩30B | ₩27B | ₩26B | ₩26B | ₩26B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.916 | 0.839 | 0.768 | 0.704 | 0.645 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩27B | ₩23B | ₩20B | ₩18B | ₩17B |
Terminal value ₩328B, worth ₩212B today: 67% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩12,735 a share)Now 13.0× | ₩19,1161.50× | ₩32,6722.57× | ₩125,5879.86× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩156 a share)Now 1058.2× | ₩4963.18× | ₩2,19614.1× | ₩8,42054.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩473 a share)Now 348.5× | ₩1,5063.18× | ₩6,66814.1× | ₩25,56454.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | ₩8,762 | ₩9,131 | ₩9,560 | ₩10,064 | ₩10,665 |
| 8.7% | ₩8,323 | ₩8,637 | ₩8,999 | ₩9,419 | ₩9,913 |
| 9.2% | ₩7,937 | ₩8,207 | ₩8,516 | ₩8,870 | ₩9,281 |
| 9.7% | ₩7,595 | ₩7,830 | ₩8,095 | ₩8,396 | ₩8,743 |
| 10.2% | ₩7,290 | ₩7,495 | ₩7,725 | ₩7,984 | ₩8,280 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩7.7T
- Enterprise value
- ₩7.6T
- P/E
- 1,058.2×
- P/B
- 13.0×
- P/S
- 34.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- 2,036.0×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩27,700 | ₩29,450 | ₩34,200 | ₩10,600 | ₩21,000 |
| Market cap | ₩1.3T | ₩1.4T | ₩1.6T | ₩493B | ₩976B |
| P/E | 36.1× | 12.8× | 46.8× | 4.6× | 6.7× |
| P/B | 2.2× | 2.4× | 3.1× | 1.0× | 2.6× |
| P/S | 4.1× | 3.3× | 5.6× | 1.1× | 2.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | 24.3× | 10.2× | 32.9× | 2.9× | 8.1× |
| Dividend yield | 0.2% | 1.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jusung Engineering | 1,058.2× | 13.0× | 34.0× | 2,036.0× | 0.0% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 193.9× | 4.3× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 78.4× | 23.3× | 31.6× | 70.6× | 0.4% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,137.6× | 53.0× | 156.2× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 44.1× | 6.4× | 10.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,622.5× | 911.6× | 733.9× | — | 3.5% |
| Wonik IPS | 25.1× | 4.0× | 4.7× | 37.6× | 0.2% |
| Similar companies (median) | 136.1× | 14.9× | 21.2× | 54.1× | 0.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Jusung Engineering / 주성엔지니어링 / 036930 / KRX:036930
Source: KRX statistical information