Powernet Technologies파워넷
037030 · KOSDAQ · ₩037030 · 파워넷
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩5,677
vs the current price (₩2,995)
- Enterprise value
- ₩422B
- Equity value
- ₩145B
- WACC
- 5.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 90% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,995, the model needs an operating margin of 3.4% every year (it uses 3.9%).
- Or revenue growth −5.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 6.8× against a typical 8.4× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩5,677
- +89.5%
- Bull
- ₩32,922
- +999.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.9%).
Revenue growth
- 25%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 19.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 14%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (28.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 18.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.85
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.78, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩435B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩137B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩55B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩194B
- Shares
- 25,512,992
- Share price
- ₩2,995
- Market cap
- ₩76B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩186B | ₩323B | ₩447B | ₩544B | ₩650B | ₩741B | ₩804B | ₩828B |
| Growth | −11.8% | 73.3% | 38.5% | 25.0% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩7.1B | ₩13B | ₩25B | ₩21B | ₩25B | ₩29B | ₩31B | ₩32B |
| EBIT margin | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩5.2B | ₩9.6B | ₩18B | ₩15B | ₩18B | ₩21B | ₩23B | ₩23B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩4.4B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.9B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.6B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.4B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B | ₩5.4B | ₩6.5B | ₩7.4B | ₩8B | ₩8.3B |
| − Working capital | −₩21B | ₩57B | −₩10B | ₩20B | ₩19B | ₩17B | ₩11B | ₩4.4B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩5.5B | −₩2.2B | ₩2.9B | ₩9.7B | ₩17B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.946 | 0.894 | 0.846 | 0.800 | 0.756 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩5.2B | −₩2B | ₩2.5B | ₩7.7B | ₩13B |
Terminal value ₩537B, worth ₩406B today: 96% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩6,020 a share)Now 0.50× | ₩3,0320.50× | ₩4,9330.82× | ₩9,0481.50× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩441 a share)Now 6.79× | ₩1,3553.07× | ₩3,6978.38× | ₩23,40653.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩798 a share)Now 3.75× | ₩2,4523.07× | ₩6,6888.38× | ₩42,34453.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.8% | ₩7,584 | ₩9,686 | ₩12,544 | ₩16,660 | ₩23,111 |
| 5.3% | ₩5,107 | ₩6,614 | ₩8,579 | ₩11,248 | ₩15,092 |
| 5.8% | ₩3,157 | ₩4,271 | ₩5,677 | ₩7,507 | ₩9,994 |
| 6.3% | ₩1,584 | ₩2,427 | ₩3,463 | ₩4,769 | ₩6,470 |
| 6.8% | ₩288 | ₩938 | ₩1,719 | ₩2,680 | ₩3,890 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩76B
- Enterprise value
- ₩209B
- P/E
- 6.8×
- P/B
- 0.5×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,685 | ₩2,280 | ₩3,075 | ₩2,865 | ₩5,560 |
| Market cap | ₩69B | ₩58B | ₩78B | ₩73B | ₩142B |
| P/E | 4.5× | 2.8× | — | 44.1× | 59.6× |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.8× | 0.8× | 1.7× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.7× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Powernet Technologies | 6.8× | 0.5× | 0.2× | — | 0.0% |
| LS Electric | 61.0× | 11.1× | 4.2× | 37.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 30.5× | 6.9× | 2.8× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 19.1× | 7.2× | 3.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 106.8× | 12.9× | 2.4× | 55.6× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 27.2× | 7.4× | 8.3× | — | 0.8% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.2× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 30.5× | 7.3× | 3.3× | 46.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Powernet Technologies / 파워넷 / 037030 / KRX:037030
Source: KRX statistical information