Cenit쎄니트
037760 · KOSDAQ · ₩037760 · 쎄니트
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- ₩23B
- Equity value
- −₩46B
- WACC
- 6.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,430, the model needs an operating margin of 9.4% every year (it uses 3.0%).
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- ₩795
- −67.3%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.0%).
Revenue growth
- -7.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -4.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 9.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 11.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 15.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.03, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩131B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩64B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩9.2B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩15B
- Shares
- 33,832,921
- Share price
- ₩2,430
- Market cap
- ₩82B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩140B | ₩132B | ₩127B | ₩122B | ₩116B | ₩113B | ₩114B | ₩117B |
| Growth | −12.3% | −5.6% | −4.1% | −7.4% | −4.8% | −2.2% | 0.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩4.9B | ₩3.3B | −₩1.1B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.5B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.5B |
| EBIT margin | 3.5% | 2.5% | −0.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩3.6B | ₩2.4B | −₩786M | ₩2.6B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.5B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩11B |
| − Capital spending | ₩5.2B | ₩6.1B | ₩33B | ₩14B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| − Working capital | −₩35B | ₩2B | −₩2B | −₩1.5B | −₩887M | −₩387M | ₩69M | ₩518M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩1.3B | ₩743M | ₩246M | −₩211M | −₩665M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.944 | 0.891 | 0.841 | 0.794 | 0.749 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.3B | ₩661M | ₩207M | −₩167M | −₩498M |
Terminal value ₩29B, worth ₩22B today: 94% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,414 a share)Now 1.01× | ₩1,3210.55× | ₩1,5560.64× | ₩2,3620.98× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩82B
- Enterprise value
- ₩141B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.0×
- P/S
- 0.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.1%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,789 | ₩1,427 | ₩1,518 | ₩1,610 | ₩2,060 |
| Market cap | ₩61B | ₩48B | ₩51B | ₩54B | ₩70B |
| P/E | — | — | 17.9× | 6.3× | 7.8× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.8× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 2.8% | 3.5% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cenit | — | 1.0× | 0.6× | — | 2.1% |
| POSCO Holdings | 16.6× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 7.8× | 3.5% |
| Korea Zinc | 18.9× | 1.6× | 0.9× | — | 2.2% |
| Hyundai Steel | — | 0.2× | 0.2× | — | 1.9% |
| Poongsan | 8.3× | 0.7× | 0.3× | 6.0× | 2.8% |
| SeAH Besteel Holdings | 12.6× | 0.6× | 0.3× | 9.6× | 3.8% |
| Sama Aluminium | — | 4.3× | 3.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 14.6× | 0.6× | 0.3× | 7.8× | 2.5% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Cenit / 쎄니트 / 037760 / KRX:037760
Source: KRX statistical information