Jeil Technos

038010 · KOSDAQ · ₩038010 · 제일테크노스

₩5,620▲ ₩20 (0.36%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩19,469

vs the current price (₩5,620)

Enterprise value
₩108B
Equity value
₩175B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 246% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩5,620, the model needs an operating margin of −0.9% every year (it uses 7.7%).
  • Margins ranged from 0.4% to 13.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 59% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 3.9× against a typical 3.8× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩14,037
+149.8%
Base
₩19,469
+246.4%
Bull
₩28,790
+412.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.7%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-14.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 7.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 5.1%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.25, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩139B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩43B
+ Stakes and investments
₩26B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩1.4B
Shares
9,000,000
Share price
₩5,620
Market cap
₩51B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩268B₩184B₩134B₩125B₩117B₩113B₩112B₩116B
Growth24.1%−31.3%−27.4%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩36B₩21B₩7.1B₩9.6B₩9B₩8.7B₩8.7B₩8.9B
EBIT margin13.5%11.2%5.3%7.7%7.7%7.7%7.7%7.7%
After-tax EBIT₩26B₩15B₩5.2B₩7B₩6.5B₩6.3B₩6.3B₩6.5B
+ Depreciation———₩1.8B₩1.6B₩1.6B₩1.6B₩1.6B
− Capital spending₩3B₩2.9B₩3.2B₩2.1B₩2B₩1.9B₩1.9B₩2B
− Working capital−₩21B−₩6.6B−₩3.8B−₩709M−₩427M−₩208M−₩11M₩172M
Free cash flow———₩7.3B₩6.6B₩6.2B₩5.9B₩5.9B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———₩6.8B₩5.7B₩5B₩4.5B₩4.2B

Terminal value ₩117B, worth ₩82B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩16,842 a share)Now 0.33×₩6,3520.38×₩10,4730.62×₩14,5300.86×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,457 a share)Now 3.86×₩3,6572.51×₩5,4923.77×₩20,58614.1×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩3,322 a share)Now 1.69×₩8,3402.51×₩12,5253.77×₩46,94514.1×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩19,975₩20,945₩22,133₩23,626₩25,555
6.9%₩18,932₩19,719₩20,665₩21,826₩23,284
7.4%₩18,052₩18,700₩19,469₩20,393₩21,527
7.9%₩17,298₩17,841₩18,474₩19,225₩20,128
8.4%₩16,647₩17,105₩17,635₩18,254₩18,987

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩51B
Enterprise value
₩2.6B
P/E
3.9×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
2.1%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩5,840₩5,690₩8,460₩6,810₩6,510
Market cap₩53B₩51B₩76B₩61B₩59B
P/E5.3×2.5×2.9×5.7×78.4×
P/B0.4×0.4×0.7×0.7×0.8×
P/S0.4×0.3×0.3×0.3×0.3×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield2.1%2.1%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Jeil Technos3.9×0.3×0.4×—2.1%
CS Wind385.5×1.3×0.6×—2.5%
Hankuk Carbon7.8×1.2×0.9×—2.1%
Taewoong65.8×0.8×1.3×21.0×0.0%
YG-15.1×0.8×0.5×—1.8%
Bosung Power Technology18.8×2.1×1.8×8.5×0.0%
HT Robotics44.6×3.2×2.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)31.7×1.2×1.1×14.7×0.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Jeil Technos / 제일테크노스 / 038010 / KRX:038010

Source: KRX statistical information