Hyundai HT현대에이치티
039010 · KOSDAQ · ₩039010 · 현대에이치티
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩5,973
vs the current price (₩7,830)
- Enterprise value
- ₩34B
- Equity value
- ₩52B
- WACC
- 7.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩502
- −93.6%
- Base
- ₩5,973
- −23.7%
- Bull
- ₩16,448
- +110.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.9%).
Revenue growth
- 13.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 10.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 23.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.08, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩141B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩4.4B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩22B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 8,625,000
- Share price
- ₩7,830
- Market cap
- ₩68B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩131B | ₩169B | ₩153B | ₩161B | ₩178B | ₩193B | ₩203B | ₩210B |
| Growth | 25.2% | 28.5% | −9.2% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩820M | ₩11B | ₩7B | ₩4.7B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.6B | ₩5.9B | ₩6.1B |
| EBIT margin | −0.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩594M | ₩8B | ₩5.1B | ₩3.4B | ₩3.7B | ₩4B | ₩4.3B | ₩4.4B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩4.8B | ₩5.3B | ₩5.8B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.3B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩6.4B | ₩7.1B | ₩7.7B | ₩8.1B | ₩8.4B |
| − Working capital | ₩9.5B | ₩15B | ₩17B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.1B | ₩3.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩1.4B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩2.7B | −₩2.1B | −₩1.3B | −₩292M | ₩876M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.933 | 0.871 | 0.813 | 0.759 | 0.709 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩2.5B | −₩1.9B | −₩1.1B | −₩222M | ₩621M |
Terminal value ₩56B, worth ₩39B today: 115% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩11,727 a share)Now 0.67× | ₩6,4720.55× | ₩7,7320.66× | ₩10,2050.87× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩485 a share)Now 16.2× | ₩2,2044.55× | ₩5,70711.8× | ₩15,26831.5× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩28 a share)Now 280.0× | ₩1274.55× | ₩32911.8× | ₩88131.5× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | ₩6,971 | ₩7,138 | ₩7,341 | ₩7,593 | ₩7,919 |
| 6.6% | ₩6,363 | ₩6,463 | ₩6,581 | ₩6,721 | ₩6,895 |
| 7.1% | ₩5,858 | ₩5,912 | ₩5,973 | ₩6,042 | ₩6,123 |
| 7.6% | ₩5,432 | ₩5,454 | ₩5,476 | ₩5,499 | ₩5,522 |
| 8.1% | ₩5,069 | ₩5,068 | ₩5,063 | ₩5,055 | ₩5,041 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩68B
- Enterprise value
- ₩72B
- P/E
- 16.2×
- P/B
- 0.7×
- P/S
- 0.5×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 5.7%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩9,180 | ₩6,100 | ₩5,750 | ₩6,720 | ₩9,550 |
| Market cap | ₩79B | ₩53B | ₩50B | ₩58B | ₩82B |
| P/E | 7.5× | 3.8× | — | 29.1× | 9.1× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.9× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.6× | 0.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 4.9% | 6.6% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai HT | 16.2× | 0.7× | 0.5× | — | 5.7% |
| Samsung Electronics | 8.7× | 2.3× | 2.7× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Electronics | 24.7× | 1.0× | 0.3× | — | 0.9% |
| Hanwha Vision | 16.4× | 2.1× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| RFHIC | 37.6× | 3.4× | 6.1× | — | 0.9% |
| KMW | — | 4.9× | 8.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Intellian Technologies | 12.9× | 2.0× | 1.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.4× | 2.2× | 2.1× | — | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hyundai HT / 현대에이치티 / 039010 / KRX:039010
Source: KRX statistical information