Hyundai HT

039010 · KOSDAQ · ₩039010 · 현대에이치티

₩7,830▲ ₩220 (2.89%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩5,973

vs the current price (₩7,830)

Enterprise value
₩34B
Equity value
₩52B
WACC
7.1%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩502
−93.6%
Base
₩5,973
−23.7%
Bull
₩16,448
+110.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.9%).

Revenue growth

  • 13.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 10.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.

  • 23.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.08, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩141B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩4.4B
+ Stakes and investments
₩22B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
8,625,000
Share price
₩7,830
Market cap
₩68B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩131B₩169B₩153B₩161B₩178B₩193B₩203B₩210B
Growth25.2%28.5%−9.2%13.5%10.9%8.2%5.6%3.0%
EBIT−₩820M₩11B₩7B₩4.7B₩5.2B₩5.6B₩5.9B₩6.1B
EBIT margin−0.6%6.5%4.6%2.9%2.9%2.9%2.9%2.9%
After-tax EBIT−₩594M₩8B₩5.1B₩3.4B₩3.7B₩4B₩4.3B₩4.4B
+ Depreciation———₩4.8B₩5.3B₩5.8B₩6.1B₩6.3B
− Capital spending———₩6.4B₩7.1B₩7.7B₩8.1B₩8.4B
− Working capital₩9.5B₩15B₩17B₩4.5B₩4.1B₩3.4B₩2.5B₩1.4B
Free cash flow———−₩2.7B−₩2.1B−₩1.3B−₩292M₩876M
Discount factor———0.9330.8710.8130.7590.709
Present value———−₩2.5B−₩1.9B−₩1.1B−₩222M₩621M

Terminal value ₩56B, worth ₩39B today: 115% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩11,727 a share)Now 0.67×₩6,4720.55×₩7,7320.66×₩10,2050.87×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩485 a share)Now 16.2×₩2,2044.55×₩5,70711.8×₩15,26831.5×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩28 a share)Now 280.0×₩1274.55×₩32911.8×₩88131.5×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.1%₩6,971₩7,138₩7,341₩7,593₩7,919
6.6%₩6,363₩6,463₩6,581₩6,721₩6,895
7.1%₩5,858₩5,912₩5,973₩6,042₩6,123
7.6%₩5,432₩5,454₩5,476₩5,499₩5,522
8.1%₩5,069₩5,068₩5,063₩5,055₩5,041

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩68B
Enterprise value
₩72B
P/E
16.2×
P/B
0.7×
P/S
0.5×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
5.7%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩9,180₩6,100₩5,750₩6,720₩9,550
Market cap₩79B₩53B₩50B₩58B₩82B
P/E7.5×3.8×—29.1×9.1×
P/B0.7×0.5×0.6×0.6×0.9×
P/S0.5×0.3×0.4×0.6×0.9×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield4.9%6.6%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Hyundai HT16.2×0.7×0.5×—5.7%
Samsung Electronics8.7×2.3×2.7×—0.8%
LG Electronics24.7×1.0×0.3×—0.9%
Hanwha Vision16.4×2.1×1.0×—0.0%
RFHIC37.6×3.4×6.1×—0.9%
KMW—4.9×8.1×—0.0%
Intellian Technologies12.9×2.0×1.6×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)16.4×2.2×2.1×—0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Hyundai HT / 현대에이치티 / 039010 / KRX:039010

Source: KRX statistical information