EO Technics이오테크닉스
039030 · KOSDAQ · ₩039030 · 이오테크닉스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩76,173
vs the current price (₩395,000)
- Enterprise value
- ₩712B
- Equity value
- ₩938B
- WACC
- 8.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 81% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- No operating margin up to 90% gets the model to today's price at these growth assumptions.
- Or revenue growth +55.8 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 9.0% to 21.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- Today's P/E is 44.8× against a typical 49.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩58,381
- −85.2%
- Base
- ₩76,173
- −80.7%
- Bull
- ₩104,477
- −73.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (17.9%).
Revenue growth
- -5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 17.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 7.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.78
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.68, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩445B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩226B
- Shares
- 12,319,550
- Share price
- ₩395,000
- Market cap
- ₩4.9T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩316B | ₩321B | ₩381B | ₩422B | ₩408B | ₩404B | ₩407B | ₩419B |
| Growth | −29.2% | 1.4% | 18.7% | −5.2% | −3.2% | −1.1% | 0.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩28B | ₩31B | ₩81B | ₩75B | ₩73B | ₩72B | ₩73B | ₩75B |
| EBIT margin | 9.0% | 9.7% | 21.2% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 17.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩21B | ₩23B | ₩59B | ₩55B | ₩53B | ₩52B | ₩53B | ₩54B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩26B | ₩25B | ₩25B | ₩25B | ₩26B |
| − Capital spending | ₩6.2B | ₩64B | ₩4.1B | ₩32B | ₩31B | ₩31B | ₩31B | ₩32B |
| − Working capital | −₩8.9B | −₩7B | ₩45B | −₩9.3B | −₩5.4B | −₩1.8B | ₩1.5B | ₩4.9B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩57B | ₩52B | ₩48B | ₩45B | ₩43B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.923 | 0.851 | 0.785 | 0.724 | 0.668 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩53B | ₩44B | ₩37B | ₩33B | ₩29B |
Terminal value ₩774B, worth ₩517B today: 73% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩60,732 a share)Now 6.50× | ₩110,6411.82× | ₩199,3153.28× | ₩418,2026.89× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩8,808 a share)Now 44.8× | ₩96,12510.9× | ₩436,50249.6× | ₩669,50276.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩12,011 a share)Now 32.9× | ₩131,07810.9× | ₩595,21949.6× | ₩912,94176.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.4% | ₩79,639 | ₩82,877 | ₩86,706 | ₩91,307 | ₩96,944 |
| 7.9% | ₩75,214 | ₩77,881 | ₩80,993 | ₩84,672 | ₩89,093 |
| 8.4% | ₩71,388 | ₩73,610 | ₩76,173 | ₩79,162 | ₩82,696 |
| 8.9% | ₩68,048 | ₩69,917 | ₩72,051 | ₩74,512 | ₩77,382 |
| 9.4% | ₩65,106 | ₩66,692 | ₩68,487 | ₩70,535 | ₩72,897 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩4.9T
- Enterprise value
- ₩4.6T
- P/E
- 44.8×
- P/B
- 6.5×
- P/S
- 10.9×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩272,000 | ₩139,200 | ₩152,900 | ₩66,600 | ₩119,500 |
| Market cap | ₩3.4T | ₩1.7T | ₩1.9T | ₩820B | ₩1.5T |
| P/E | 58.6× | 40.0× | 51.4× | 10.7× | 20.5× |
| P/B | 4.9× | 2.9× | 3.4× | 1.5× | 3.1× |
| P/S | 8.8× | 5.3× | 6.0× | 1.8× | 3.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 0.4% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EO Technics | 44.8× | 6.5× | 10.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 208.4× | 4.6× | 2.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 82.2× | 24.4× | 33.1× | 74.0× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,121.0× | 13.7× | 36.0× | 2,158.2× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,006.5× | 51.3× | 151.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,664.7× | 914.4× | 736.1× | — | 3.5% |
| Wonik IPS | 26.6× | 4.3× | 5.0× | 40.0× | 0.2% |
| Similar companies (median) | 664.7× | 19.1× | 34.5× | 74.0× | 0.1% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: EO Technics / 이오테크닉스 / 039030 / KRX:039030
Source: KRX statistical information