Nanoen Tek나노엔텍
039860 · KOSDAQ · ₩039860 · 나노엔텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,723
vs the current price (₩4,455)
- Enterprise value
- ₩19B
- Equity value
- ₩66B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 61% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩4,455, the model needs an operating margin of 21.6% every year (it uses 5.3%).
- Margins ranged from −8.3% to 14.6% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 79% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 28.9× against a typical 39.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,390
- −68.8%
- Base
- ₩1,723
- −61.3%
- Bull
- ₩2,353
- −47.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (5.3%).
Revenue growth
- 2.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 5.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.33, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩44B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩47B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩5.8M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 38,093,053
- Share price
- ₩4,455
- Market cap
- ₩170B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩27B | ₩30B | ₩38B | ₩45B | ₩47B | ₩48B | ₩49B | ₩51B |
| Growth | −23.8% | 13.5% | 25.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩2.2B | ₩621M | ₩1.1B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B |
| EBIT margin | −8.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩1.6B | ₩450M | ₩799M | ₩1.7B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B |
| + Depreciation | ₩1.7B | ₩1.9B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.9B | ₩2.9B | ₩3B | ₩3.1B | ₩3.2B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.3B | ₩4.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B | ₩4B | ₩4.1B |
| − Working capital | −₩6.2B | ₩5.6B | ₩5.1B | ₩477M | ₩508M | ₩541M | ₩557M | ₩593M |
| Free cash flow | ₩5B | −₩7.4B | −₩4B | ₩495M | ₩491M | ₩487M | ₩502M | ₩497M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩461M | ₩427M | ₩394M | ₩378M | ₩350M |
Terminal value ₩24B, worth ₩17B today: 89% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,469 a share)Now 1.80× | ₩4,1541.68× | ₩6,2602.54× | ₩11,3034.58× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩154 a share)Now 28.9× | ₩4,45528.9× | ₩6,02239.1× | ₩11,42874.3× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩222 a share)Now 20.0× | ₩6,43728.9× | ₩8,70139.1× | ₩16,51374.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩1,816 | ₩1,832 | ₩1,852 | ₩1,876 | ₩1,906 |
| 6.8% | ₩1,759 | ₩1,769 | ₩1,781 | ₩1,795 | ₩1,812 |
| 7.3% | ₩1,711 | ₩1,717 | ₩1,723 | ₩1,731 | ₩1,740 |
| 7.8% | ₩1,670 | ₩1,673 | ₩1,676 | ₩1,679 | ₩1,683 |
| 8.3% | ₩1,635 | ₩1,636 | ₩1,637 | ₩1,637 | ₩1,637 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩170B
- Enterprise value
- ₩121B
- P/E
- 28.9×
- P/B
- 1.8×
- P/S
- 3.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- 29.2×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩6,000 | ₩3,255 | ₩3,720 | ₩5,950 | ₩7,450 |
| Market cap | ₩229B | ₩124B | ₩142B | ₩227B | ₩284B |
| P/E | 144.6× | 34.6× | — | 48.6× | 38.8× |
| P/B | 2.5× | 1.7× | 2.6× | 3.9× | 5.4× |
| P/S | 6.0× | 4.1× | 5.3× | 6.4× | 7.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | 53.9× | 35.9× | — | 34.1× | 40.7× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Nanoen Tek / 나노엔텍 / 039860 / KRX:039860
Source: KRX statistical information