Hyundai Everdigm현대에버다임
041440 · KOSDAQ · ₩041440 · 현대에버다임
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩102
vs the current price (₩6,020)
- Enterprise value
- ₩75B
- Equity value
- ₩1.8B
- WACC
- 6.0%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 98% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩6,020, the model needs an operating margin of 5.0% every year (it uses 2.6%).
- 38% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 12.4× against a typical 18.5× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩102
- −98.3%
- Bull
- ₩8,580
- +42.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.6%).
Revenue growth
- -8.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -5.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 2.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 2.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.3, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩304B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩74B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩572M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 17,841,712
- Share price
- ₩6,020
- Market cap
- ₩107B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩358B | ₩355B | ₩290B | ₩279B | ₩264B | ₩257B | ₩258B | ₩265B |
| Growth | −4.4% | −0.8% | −18.5% | −8.2% | −5.4% | −2.6% | 0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩12B | ₩9.9B | ₩5.4B | ₩7.3B | ₩6.9B | ₩6.7B | ₩6.7B | ₩6.9B |
| EBIT margin | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩8.7B | ₩7.2B | ₩3.9B | ₩5.3B | ₩5B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.9B | ₩5B |
| + Depreciation | ₩4.1B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.8B | ₩3.9B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B |
| − Capital spending | ₩9.8B | ₩8.8B | ₩3B | ₩5.9B | ₩5.5B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.6B |
| − Working capital | −₩25B | ₩12B | ₩13B | −₩10B | −₩6B | −₩2.7B | ₩206M | ₩3.1B |
| Free cash flow | ₩28B | −₩8.8B | −₩6.7B | ₩13B | ₩9.2B | ₩5.8B | ₩2.8B | ₩53M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.943 | 0.889 | 0.838 | 0.791 | 0.746 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩13B | ₩8.1B | ₩4.9B | ₩2.3B | ₩39M |
Terminal value ₩63B, worth ₩47B today: 63% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩10,930 a share)Now 0.55× | ₩6,1240.56× | ₩8,4370.77× | ₩9,4850.87× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩486 a share)Now 12.4× | ₩5,28510.9× | ₩9,00318.5× | ₩27,92757.4× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩664 a share)Now 9.07× | ₩7,21310.9× | ₩12,28718.5× | ₩38,11557.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | ₩1,391 | ₩1,297 | ₩1,165 | ₩973 | ₩675 |
| 5.5% | ₩866 | ₩735 | ₩559 | ₩319 | — |
| 6.0% | ₩445 | ₩295 | ₩102 | — | — |
| 6.5% | ₩100 | — | — | — | — |
| 7.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩107B
- Enterprise value
- ₩179B
- P/E
- 12.4×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- 14.4×
- Dividend yield
- 1.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩8,220 | ₩8,250 | ₩6,350 | ₩8,220 | ₩5,200 |
| Market cap | ₩147B | ₩147B | ₩113B | ₩147B | ₩93B |
| P/E | 31.6× | 22.4× | 17.7× | 13.7× | — |
| P/B | 0.8× | 0.8× | 0.6× | 0.8× | 0.6× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | 18.1× | 11.9× | 8.6× | 10.6× | 18.0× |
| Dividend yield | 0.9% | 0.8% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Everdigm | 12.4× | 0.6× | 0.4× | 14.4× | 1.2% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 217.2× | 4.8× | 2.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 87.4× | 26.0× | 35.2× | 78.7× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,189.7× | 14.6× | 38.2× | 2,291.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,610.6× | 59.1× | 174.0× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.5× | 6.9× | 11.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Wonik IPS | 28.2× | 4.5× | 5.3× | 42.7× | 0.2% |
| Similar companies (median) | 152.3× | 10.7× | 23.4× | 78.7× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hyundai Everdigm / 현대에버다임 / 041440 / KRX:041440
Source: KRX statistical information