Mediana

041920 · KOSDAQ · ₩041920 · 메디아나

₩7,670▼ ₩340 (4.24%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩7,300

vs the current price (₩7,670)

Enterprise value
₩98B
Equity value
₩136B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩5,369
−30.0%
Base
₩7,300
−4.8%
Bull
₩10,619
+38.4%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (11.7%).

Revenue growth

  • -1.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-1.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 11.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.8%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.61

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.42, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩71B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩30B
+ Stakes and investments
₩7.6B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
18,598,223
Share price
₩7,670
Market cap
₩143B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩78B₩57B₩65B₩70B₩70B₩70B₩72B₩74B
Growth14.7%−27.3%13.9%−1.7%−0.5%0.7%1.8%3.0%
EBIT₩9.4B₩1.3B₩6B₩8.2B₩8.2B₩8.2B₩8.4B₩8.6B
EBIT margin12.0%2.3%9.2%11.7%11.7%11.7%11.7%11.7%
After-tax EBIT₩6.8B₩949M₩4.3B₩6B₩5.9B₩6B₩6.1B₩6.3B
+ Depreciation———₩562M₩559M₩563M₩573M₩590M
− Capital spending₩408M₩797M₩608M₩702M₩699M₩704M₩716M₩738M
− Working capital−₩3.5B₩55B−₩16B−₩486M−₩140M₩196M₩507M₩860M
Free cash flow———₩6.3B₩5.9B₩5.6B₩5.4B₩5.3B
Discount factor———0.9310.8680.8080.7530.701
Present value———₩5.9B₩5.1B₩4.6B₩4.1B₩3.7B

Terminal value ₩107B, worth ₩75B today: 76% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩7,617 a share)Now 1.01×₩5,7140.75×₩8,4161.10×₩12,7071.67×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩517 a share)Now 14.8×₩4,0357.80×₩7,35914.2×₩17,40533.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩669 a share)Now 11.5×₩5,2167.80×₩9,51314.2×₩22,49833.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩7,703₩8,057₩8,491₩9,036₩9,740
6.9%₩7,219₩7,498₩7,834₩8,245₩8,762
7.4%₩6,811₩7,035₩7,300₩7,618₩8,007
7.9%₩6,462₩6,644₩6,856₩7,107₩7,407
8.4%₩6,161₩6,310₩6,482₩6,683₩6,919

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩143B
Enterprise value
₩112B
P/E
14.8×
P/B
1.0×
P/S
2.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩9,170₩4,790₩7,200₩5,350₩6,640
Market cap₩171B₩89B₩134B₩100B₩123B
P/E32.3×14.3×15.1×9.4×14.1×
P/B1.3×0.7×1.3×1.1×1.6×
P/S2.6×1.6×1.7×1.5×2.2×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Mediana14.8×1.0×2.0×—0.0%
TSE23.5×5.2×4.3×—0.2%
Kctech19.8×3.0×3.6×15.3×0.5%
Classys12.4×3.1×4.6×9.7×3.8%
Park Systems66.3×4.5×7.9×—0.2%
DI37.8×5.2×2.3×—0.6%
LivsMed—6.1×19.4×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)23.5×4.8×4.5×12.5×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Mediana / 메디아나 / 041920 / KRX:041920

Source: KRX statistical information