SCD에스씨디
042110 · KOSDAQ · ₩042110 · 에스씨디
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,202
vs the current price (₩903)
- Enterprise value
- ₩86B
- Equity value
- ₩155B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 255% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩903, the model needs an operating margin of −0.4% every year (it uses 3.7%).
- Today's P/E is 20.1× against a typical 11.8× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,967
- +117.8%
- Base
- ₩3,202
- +254.6%
- Bull
- ₩5,450
- +503.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.7%).
Revenue growth
- -0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 14%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.03, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩203B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩69B
- Shares
- 48,329,564
- Share price
- ₩903
- Market cap
- ₩44B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩194B | ₩214B | ₩216B | ₩202B | ₩203B | ₩206B | ₩210B | ₩216B |
| Growth | −11.4% | 10.3% | 1.0% | −0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩5.7B | ₩9.3B | ₩6.3B | ₩7.5B | ₩7.5B | ₩7.6B | ₩7.8B | ₩8B |
| EBIT margin | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩4.2B | ₩6.8B | ₩4.6B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.5B | ₩5.6B | ₩5.8B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩2B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.2B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.4B | ₩1.9B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B |
| − Working capital | ₩1.5B | ₩3.5B | ₩4.4B | −₩114M | ₩113M | ₩370M | ₩605M | ₩882M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩4.9B | ₩4.7B | ₩4.5B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩4.6B | ₩4.1B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.3B | ₩3B |
Terminal value ₩96B, worth ₩67B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,853 a share)Now 0.32× | ₩1,3120.46× | ₩1,7430.61× | ₩2,4840.87× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩45 a share)Now 20.1× | ₩3467.71× | ₩53011.8× | ₩77317.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩3,353 | ₩3,472 | ₩3,618 | ₩3,802 | ₩4,040 |
| 6.8% | ₩3,183 | ₩3,276 | ₩3,388 | ₩3,526 | ₩3,699 |
| 7.3% | ₩3,041 | ₩3,115 | ₩3,202 | ₩3,308 | ₩3,437 |
| 7.8% | ₩2,919 | ₩2,979 | ₩3,048 | ₩3,130 | ₩3,229 |
| 8.3% | ₩2,814 | ₩2,863 | ₩2,919 | ₩2,984 | ₩3,061 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩44B
- Enterprise value
- −₩25B
- P/E
- 20.1×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 5.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,271 | ₩1,426 | ₩1,753 | ₩1,835 | ₩1,810 |
| Market cap | ₩61B | ₩69B | ₩85B | ₩89B | ₩87B |
| P/E | 9.6× | 8.2× | 17.5× | 10.7× | 12.6× |
| P/B | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.7× | 0.7× | 0.8× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 3.9% | 2.5% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCD | 20.1× | 0.3× | 0.2× | — | 5.5% |
| LS Electric | 57.7× | 10.5× | 3.9× | 35.7× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 28.8× | 6.5× | 2.6× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 18.0× | 6.8× | 3.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 105.6× | 12.8× | 2.3× | 55.0× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 24.9× | 6.8× | 7.6× | — | 0.9% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.1× | 0.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 28.8× | 6.8× | 3.1× | 45.4× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: SCD / 에스씨디 / 042110 / KRX:042110
Source: KRX statistical information