SCD

042110 · KOSDAQ · ₩042110 · 에스씨디

₩903▼ ₩34 (3.63%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩3,202

vs the current price (₩903)

Enterprise value
₩86B
Equity value
₩155B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 255% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩903, the model needs an operating margin of −0.4% every year (it uses 3.7%).
  • Today's P/E is 20.1× against a typical 11.8× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩1,967
+117.8%
Base
₩3,202
+254.6%
Bull
₩5,450
+503.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.7%).

Revenue growth

  • -0.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-0.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 3.7%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 14%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.03, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩203B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩69B
Shares
48,329,564
Share price
₩903
Market cap
₩44B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩194B₩214B₩216B₩202B₩203B₩206B₩210B₩216B
Growth−11.4%10.3%1.0%−0.4%0.4%1.3%2.1%3.0%
EBIT₩5.7B₩9.3B₩6.3B₩7.5B₩7.5B₩7.6B₩7.8B₩8B
EBIT margin3.0%4.4%2.9%3.7%3.7%3.7%3.7%3.7%
After-tax EBIT₩4.2B₩6.8B₩4.6B₩5.4B₩5.4B₩5.5B₩5.6B₩5.8B
+ Depreciation———₩2B₩2B₩2.1B₩2.1B₩2.2B
− Capital spending₩3.4B₩1.9B₩2.8B₩2.6B₩2.6B₩2.7B₩2.7B₩2.8B
− Working capital₩1.5B₩3.5B₩4.4B−₩114M₩113M₩370M₩605M₩882M
Free cash flow———₩4.9B₩4.7B₩4.5B₩4.4B₩4.3B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩4.6B₩4.1B₩3.7B₩3.3B₩3B

Terminal value ₩96B, worth ₩67B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩2,853 a share)Now 0.32×₩1,3120.46×₩1,7430.61×₩2,4840.87×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩45 a share)Now 20.1×₩3467.71×₩53011.8×₩77317.2×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩3,353₩3,472₩3,618₩3,802₩4,040
6.8%₩3,183₩3,276₩3,388₩3,526₩3,699
7.3%₩3,041₩3,115₩3,202₩3,308₩3,437
7.8%₩2,919₩2,979₩3,048₩3,130₩3,229
8.3%₩2,814₩2,863₩2,919₩2,984₩3,061

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩44B
Enterprise value
−₩25B
P/E
20.1×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
5.5%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,271₩1,426₩1,753₩1,835₩1,810
Market cap₩61B₩69B₩85B₩89B₩87B
P/E9.6×8.2×17.5×10.7×12.6×
P/B0.5×0.5×0.7×0.7×0.8×
P/S0.3×0.3×0.4×0.4×0.4×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield3.9%2.5%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
SCD20.1×0.3×0.2×—5.5%
LS Electric57.7×10.5×3.9×35.7×0.0%
Hyosung Heavy Industries28.8×6.5×2.6×—0.4%
HD Hyundai Electric18.0×6.8×3.5×—0.0%
Gaon Cable105.6×12.8×2.3×55.0×0.0%
Sanil Electric24.9×6.8×7.6×—0.9%
Taihan Cable & Solution—2.1×0.9×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)28.8×6.8×3.1×45.4×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: SCD / 에스씨디 / 042110 / KRX:042110

Source: KRX statistical information