Neowiz Holdings

042420 · KOSDAQ · ₩042420 · 네오위즈홀딩스

₩19,230▼ ₩550 (2.78%)End-of-day · Oct 26, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩17,833

vs the current price (₩19,230)

Enterprise value
₩401B
Equity value
₩145B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩17,833
−7.3%
Bull
₩64,633
+236.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.8%).

Revenue growth

  • 13.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 10.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 5.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 6.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 37.8%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.16, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩442B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩95B
+ Stakes and investments
₩36B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩387B
Shares
8,142,283
Share price
₩19,230
Market cap
₩157B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩367B₩368B₩437B₩503B₩557B₩604B₩637B₩657B
Growth23.0%0.4%18.7%13.6%10.9%8.3%5.6%3.0%
EBIT₩17B₩20B₩55B₩34B₩38B₩41B₩43B₩45B
EBIT margin4.7%5.5%12.6%6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%6.8%
After-tax EBIT₩13B₩15B₩40B₩25B₩27B₩30B₩31B₩32B
+ Depreciation———₩5B₩5.6B₩6B₩6.4B₩6.6B
− Capital spending₩8.2B₩2B₩4.9B₩6.5B₩7.2B₩7.8B₩8.3B₩8.5B
− Working capital−₩29B₩31B₩92B₩23B₩21B₩17B₩13B₩7.2B
Free cash flow———₩526M₩5.1B₩10B₩17B₩23B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7530.702
Present value———₩490M₩4.4B₩8.5B₩13B₩16B

Terminal value ₩512B, worth ₩359B today: 89% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩43,255 a share)Now 0.44×₩19,5410.45×₩24,5090.57×₩31,7710.73×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,668 a share)Now 7.21×₩14,2885.35×₩21,8258.18×₩80,29030.1×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩3,355 a share)Now 5.73×₩17,9645.35×₩27,4398.18×₩100,94430.1×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩23,937₩27,032₩30,815₩35,557₩41,687
6.8%₩18,489₩20,835₩23,645₩27,078₩31,379
7.3%₩13,915₩15,715₩17,833₩20,368₩23,462
7.8%₩10,023₩11,416₩13,030₩14,928₩17,196
8.3%₩6,673₩7,757₩8,996₩10,431₩12,115

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩157B
Enterprise value
₩59B
P/E
7.2×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
2.5%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩25,050₩17,750₩25,400₩24,250₩96,300
Market cap₩204B₩145B₩207B₩197B₩784B
P/E6.0×—28.4×—12.1×
P/B0.6×0.4×0.6×0.6×1.8×
P/S0.5×0.4×0.6×0.7×2.9×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.9%1.8%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Neowiz Holdings7.2×0.4×0.4×—2.5%
Hyundai Autoever44.9×4.5×1.9×—0.6%
Krafton10.1×1.2×1.9×—1.2%
NC7.0×1.2×2.1×8.5×0.6%
Netmarble7.0×0.5×1.0×—2.6%
PearlAbyss8.0×2.1×3.0×5.2×0.0%
Shift UP9.0×1.8×7.1×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)8.5×1.5×2.0×6.8×0.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Neowiz Holdings / 네오위즈홀딩스 / 042420 / KRX:042420

Source: KRX statistical information