Neowiz Holdings네오위즈홀딩스
042420 · KOSDAQ · ₩042420 · 네오위즈홀딩스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩17,833
vs the current price (₩19,230)
- Enterprise value
- ₩401B
- Equity value
- ₩145B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩17,833
- −7.3%
- Bull
- ₩64,633
- +236.1%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.8%).
Revenue growth
- 13.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 10.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (13.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.3%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 37.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.16, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩442B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩95B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩36B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩387B
- Shares
- 8,142,283
- Share price
- ₩19,230
- Market cap
- ₩157B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩367B | ₩368B | ₩437B | ₩503B | ₩557B | ₩604B | ₩637B | ₩657B |
| Growth | 23.0% | 0.4% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩17B | ₩20B | ₩55B | ₩34B | ₩38B | ₩41B | ₩43B | ₩45B |
| EBIT margin | 4.7% | 5.5% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩13B | ₩15B | ₩40B | ₩25B | ₩27B | ₩30B | ₩31B | ₩32B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩5B | ₩5.6B | ₩6B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.6B |
| − Capital spending | ₩8.2B | ₩2B | ₩4.9B | ₩6.5B | ₩7.2B | ₩7.8B | ₩8.3B | ₩8.5B |
| − Working capital | −₩29B | ₩31B | ₩92B | ₩23B | ₩21B | ₩17B | ₩13B | ₩7.2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩526M | ₩5.1B | ₩10B | ₩17B | ₩23B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.753 | 0.702 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩490M | ₩4.4B | ₩8.5B | ₩13B | ₩16B |
Terminal value ₩512B, worth ₩359B today: 89% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩43,255 a share)Now 0.44× | ₩19,5410.45× | ₩24,5090.57× | ₩31,7710.73× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,668 a share)Now 7.21× | ₩14,2885.35× | ₩21,8258.18× | ₩80,29030.1× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩3,355 a share)Now 5.73× | ₩17,9645.35× | ₩27,4398.18× | ₩100,94430.1× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩23,937 | ₩27,032 | ₩30,815 | ₩35,557 | ₩41,687 |
| 6.8% | ₩18,489 | ₩20,835 | ₩23,645 | ₩27,078 | ₩31,379 |
| 7.3% | ₩13,915 | ₩15,715 | ₩17,833 | ₩20,368 | ₩23,462 |
| 7.8% | ₩10,023 | ₩11,416 | ₩13,030 | ₩14,928 | ₩17,196 |
| 8.3% | ₩6,673 | ₩7,757 | ₩8,996 | ₩10,431 | ₩12,115 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩157B
- Enterprise value
- ₩59B
- P/E
- 7.2×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.5%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩25,050 | ₩17,750 | ₩25,400 | ₩24,250 | ₩96,300 |
| Market cap | ₩204B | ₩145B | ₩207B | ₩197B | ₩784B |
| P/E | 6.0× | — | 28.4× | — | 12.1× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 0.4× | 0.6× | 0.6× | 1.8× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 2.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.9% | 1.8% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neowiz Holdings | 7.2× | 0.4× | 0.4× | — | 2.5% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 44.9× | 4.5× | 1.9× | — | 0.6% |
| Krafton | 10.1× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.5× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.0× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 8.0× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.5× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Neowiz Holdings / 네오위즈홀딩스 / 042420 / KRX:042420
Source: KRX statistical information