Sungho Electronics성호전자
043260 · KOSDAQ · ₩043260 · 성호전자
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,141
vs the current price (₩28,700)
- Enterprise value
- ₩71B
- Equity value
- ₩162B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 93% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩28,700, the model needs an operating margin of 43.5% every year (it uses 3.3%).
- Margins ranged from 0.9% to 12.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 97% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 6.0× against a typical 13.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩933
- −96.7%
- Base
- ₩2,141
- −92.5%
- Bull
- ₩4,382
- −84.7%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.3%).
Revenue growth
- 14.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 8.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (14.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.3%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 7.5%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 17.3%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.35, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩267B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩23B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩121B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩7.4B
- Shares
- 75,451,848
- Share price
- ₩28,700
- Market cap
- ₩2.2T
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩208B | ₩207B | ₩232B | ₩306B | ₩342B | ₩373B | ₩395B | ₩406B |
| Growth | 35.5% | −0.4% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩26B | ₩6.3B | ₩7.6B | ₩10B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B |
| EBIT margin | 12.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩19B | ₩4.6B | ₩5.5B | ₩7.3B | ₩8.2B | ₩8.9B | ₩9.4B | ₩9.7B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩18B | ₩21B | ₩22B | ₩24B | ₩24B |
| − Capital spending | ₩6.2B | ₩36B | ₩4.7B | ₩23B | ₩26B | ₩28B | ₩30B | ₩30B |
| − Working capital | ₩2.3B | ₩32B | −₩166B | ₩6.8B | ₩6.3B | ₩5.2B | ₩3.8B | ₩2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩4.1B | −₩3.2B | −₩1.9B | −₩281M | ₩1.6B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.701 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩3.8B | −₩2.8B | −₩1.5B | −₩212M | ₩1.1B |
Terminal value ₩112B, worth ₩78B today: 110% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩5,478 a share)Now 5.24× | ₩3,3520.61× | ₩6,5541.20× | ₩23,9334.37× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,786 a share)Now 6.00× | ₩15,7183.28× | ₩62,56813.1× | ₩268,63456.1× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩2,307 | ₩2,366 | ₩2,438 | ₩2,527 | ₩2,641 |
| 6.9% | ₩2,180 | ₩2,223 | ₩2,274 | ₩2,335 | ₩2,412 |
| 7.4% | ₩2,073 | ₩2,105 | ₩2,141 | ₩2,184 | ₩2,237 |
| 7.9% | ₩1,983 | ₩2,006 | ₩2,032 | ₩2,062 | ₩2,098 |
| 8.4% | ₩1,905 | ₩1,922 | ₩1,940 | ₩1,961 | ₩1,985 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩2.2T
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.2T
- P/E
- 6.0×
- P/B
- 5.2×
- P/S
- 8.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩9,240 | ₩1,121 | ₩1,399 | ₩1,185 | ₩1,595 |
| Market cap | ₩697B | ₩85B | ₩106B | ₩89B | ₩120B |
| P/E | 7.7× | 10.5× | 6.0× | — | 38.0× |
| P/B | 2.8× | 0.6× | 1.0× | 1.1× | 1.3× |
| P/S | 3.0× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.6× | 0.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sungho Electronics | 6.0× | 5.2× | 8.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 96.8× | 9.5× | 7.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 39.2× | 5.5× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 71.2× | 2.8× | 3.0× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.1× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 35.4× | 8.3× | 5.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 44.8× | 7.0× | 5.0× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 42.0× | 6.3× | 4.0× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Sungho Electronics / 성호전자 / 043260 / KRX:043260
Source: KRX statistical information