Natureand Environment

043910 · KOSDAQ · ₩043910 · 자연과환경

₩2,830▼ ₩70 (2.41%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩27B
Equity value
−₩56B
WACC
7.5%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,830, the model needs an operating margin of 21.3% every year (it uses −6.6%).
  • Margins ranged from −11.3% to 6.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−6.6%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-20.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-20.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-20.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-20.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-20.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -6.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 9.3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 11.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 1.15

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 1.22, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩31B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩26B
+ Stakes and investments
₩2.3B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩4.7B
Shares
11,339,145
Share price
₩2,830
Market cap
₩32B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩70B₩41B₩37B₩28B₩26B₩25B₩25B₩26B
Growth−5.6%−41.6%−8.4%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩4.5B−₩2.1B−₩4B−₩1.8B−₩1.7B−₩1.7B−₩1.6B−₩1.7B
EBIT margin6.5%−5.2%−10.7%−6.6%−6.6%−6.6%−6.6%−6.6%
After-tax EBIT₩3.3B−₩1.5B−₩2.9B−₩1.3B−₩1.2B−₩1.2B−₩1.2B−₩1.2B
+ Depreciation———₩2.6B₩2.4B₩2.3B₩2.3B₩2.4B
− Capital spending₩5.7B₩10B₩349M₩3.2B₩3B₩2.9B₩2.9B₩3B
− Working capital−₩525M₩5.1B₩3.9B−₩1.2B−₩745M−₩363M−₩20M₩300M
Free cash flow———−₩734M−₩1.1B−₩1.4B−₩1.7B−₩2.1B
Discount factor———0.9300.8650.8040.7480.695
Present value———−₩682M−₩945M−₩1.1B−₩1.3B−₩1.5B

Terminal value −₩31B, worth −₩21B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩7,300 a share)Now 0.39×₩4,6980.64×₩10,8191.48×₩19,0792.61×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.5%—————
7.0%—————
7.5%—————
8.0%—————
8.5%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩32B
Enterprise value
₩58B
P/E
—
P/B
0.4×
P/S
1.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩6,300₩5,900₩9,576₩9,185₩12,595
Market cap₩71B₩67B₩109B₩104B₩143B
P/E——25.0×244.5×—
P/B0.9×0.7×1.5×1.5×2.9×
P/S1.9×1.6×1.6×1.4×2.6×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Natureand Environment—0.4×1.0×—0.0%
Tokai Carbon Korea30.7×4.3×7.0×—0.7%
Hanilcementco12.0×0.7×0.9×—6.0%
Wonik QnC14.7×1.3×0.7×—0.5%
Sampyo Cement17.0×0.8×0.9×6.0×2.2%
Hanil Holdings9.6×0.3×0.3×—5.9%
IS Dongseo5.0×0.3×0.4×—3.6%
Similar companies (median)13.3×0.7×0.8×6.0×2.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Natureand Environment / 자연과환경 / 043910 / KRX:043910

Source: KRX statistical information