HK

044780 · KOSDAQ · ₩044780 · 에이치케이

₩1,140▼ ₩42 (3.55%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩1,489

vs the current price (₩1,140)

Enterprise value
₩5.1B
Equity value
₩28B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩1,165
+2.2%
Base
₩1,489
+30.6%
Bull
₩2,187
+91.8%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.2%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 0.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.26, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩52B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩2.4B
+ Stakes and investments
₩20B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
18,505,787
Share price
₩1,140
Market cap
₩21B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩67B₩54B₩54B₩47B₩44B₩42B₩42B₩43B
Growth−18.1%−18.9%0.3%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩842M−₩2.6B−₩387M₩469M₩438M₩423M₩422M₩434M
EBIT margin1.3%−4.9%−0.7%1.0%1.0%1.0%1.0%1.0%
After-tax EBIT₩610M−₩1.9B−₩281M₩340M₩317M₩306M₩306M₩315M
+ Depreciation₩1.2B₩1.3B₩1.2B₩1B₩963M₩930M₩928M₩956M
− Capital spending₩338M₩820M₩410M₩422M₩394M₩380M₩380M₩391M
− Working capital₩9.2B−₩16B₩10B−₩2.1B−₩1.3B−₩613M−₩34M₩506M
Free cash flow−₩7.7B₩15B−₩9.7B₩3B₩2.1B₩1.5B₩888M₩374M
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩2.8B₩1.9B₩1.2B₩670M₩263M

Terminal value −₩2.5B, worth −₩1.7B today: -34% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩3,881 a share)Now 0.29×₩1,4180.37×₩1,8140.47×₩2,7860.72×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩737 a share)Now 1.55×₩2,9063.94×₩5,8777.98×₩12,85917.5×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,712 a share)Now 0.67×₩6,7523.94×₩13,6567.98×₩29,87917.5×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩1,624₩1,555₩1,469₩1,359₩1,216
6.8%₩1,617₩1,556₩1,481₩1,387₩1,269
7.3%₩1,610₩1,555₩1,489₩1,409₩1,308
7.8%₩1,604₩1,554₩1,496₩1,425₩1,339
8.3%₩1,598₩1,553₩1,500₩1,438₩1,363

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩21B
Enterprise value
₩19B
P/E
1.5×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.4×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,350₩1,142₩1,811₩1,945₩2,120
Market cap₩25B₩21B₩34B₩36B₩39B
P/E5.5×—17.7×8.4×7.2×
P/B0.4×0.4×0.6×0.6×0.7×
P/S0.5×0.4×0.5×0.4×0.5×
EV/EBITDA29.5×—21.3×5.6×6.8×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
HK1.5×0.3×0.4×—0.0%
Doosan Enerbility193.9×4.3×2.0×—0.0%
Hanmi Semiconductor78.4×23.3×31.6×70.6×0.4%
Jusung Engineering1,058.2×13.0×34.0×2,036.0×0.0%
Rainbow Robotics4,137.6×53.0×156.2×—0.0%
EO Technics44.1×6.4×10.8×—0.0%
Doosan Bobcat13,622.5×911.6×733.9×—3.5%
Similar companies (median)626.0×18.1×32.8×1,053.3×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: HK / 에이치케이 / 044780 / KRX:044780

Source: KRX statistical information