H&SHigh Tech에이치엔에스하이텍
044990 · KOSDAQ · ₩044990 · 에이치엔에스하이텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩23,345
vs the current price (₩10,680)
- Enterprise value
- ₩139B
- Equity value
- ₩179B
- WACC
- 7.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 119% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩10,680, the model needs an operating margin of 6.3% every year (it uses 14.8%).
- 35% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 6.6× against a typical 7.5× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩16,855
- +57.8%
- Base
- ₩23,345
- +118.6%
- Bull
- ₩34,060
- +218.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (14.8%).
Revenue growth
- 0.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 2 years' revenue growth (0.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 14.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 3 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 9.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 12.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 30.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.67
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.51, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩90B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩36B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩4.6B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 7,685,425
- Share price
- ₩10,680
- Market cap
- ₩82B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩81B | ₩76B | ₩82B | ₩91B | ₩92B | ₩94B | ₩96B | ₩99B |
| Growth | — | −5.5% | 7.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩14B | ₩13B | ₩9.7B | ₩13B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩15B |
| EBIT margin | 17.3% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩10B | ₩9.7B | ₩7B | ₩9.7B | ₩9.9B | ₩10B | ₩10B | ₩11B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩8.8B | ₩8.9B | ₩9.1B | ₩9.3B | ₩9.6B |
| − Capital spending | ₩8B | ₩5.4B | ₩16B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
| − Working capital | — | ₩3.2B | ₩4.6B | ₩219M | ₩387M | ₩532M | ₩713M | ₩878M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩7.3B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.3B | ₩7.4B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.928 | 0.861 | 0.798 | 0.741 | 0.687 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩6.8B | ₩6.3B | ₩5.8B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.1B |
Terminal value ₩160B, worth ₩110B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩13,880 a share)Now 0.77× | ₩11,3700.82× | ₩17,5851.27× | ₩33,7102.43× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,618 a share)Now 6.60× | ₩7,0014.33× | ₩12,1307.50× | ₩18,27011.3× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩798 a share)Now 13.4× | ₩3,4524.33× | ₩5,9807.50× | ₩9,00711.3× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2024, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.8% | ₩24,475 | ₩25,733 | ₩27,251 | ₩29,119 | ₩31,475 |
| 7.3% | ₩22,881 | ₩23,902 | ₩25,113 | ₩26,573 | ₩28,370 |
| 7.8% | ₩21,524 | ₩22,363 | ₩23,345 | ₩24,510 | ₩25,915 |
| 8.3% | ₩20,355 | ₩21,053 | ₩21,860 | ₩22,804 | ₩23,924 |
| 8.8% | ₩19,337 | ₩19,923 | ₩20,595 | ₩21,371 | ₩22,278 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩82B
- Enterprise value
- ₩46B
- P/E
- 6.6×
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 0.9×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩15,300 | ₩15,840 | ₩16,700 |
| Market cap | ₩118B | ₩122B | ₩128B |
| P/E | 13.2× | 8.3× | 4.3× |
| P/B | 1.1× | 1.1× | 1.5× |
| P/S | 1.4× | 1.6× | 1.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.6% | 1.6% | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H&SHigh Tech | 6.6× | 0.8× | 0.9× | — | 2.3% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 96.8× | 9.5× | 7.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 39.2× | 5.5× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 71.2× | 2.8× | 3.0× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.1× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 35.4× | 8.3× | 5.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 44.8× | 7.0× | 5.0× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 42.0× | 6.3× | 4.0× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: H&SHigh Tech / 에이치엔에스하이텍 / 044990 / KRX:044990
Source: KRX statistical information