Sungwoo Techron성우테크론
045300 · KOSDAQ · ₩045300 · 성우테크론
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,544
vs the current price (₩3,265)
- Enterprise value
- ₩41B
- Equity value
- ₩37B
- WACC
- 7.1%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,642
- −49.7%
- Base
- ₩3,544
- +8.6%
- Bull
- ₩6,863
- +110.2%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (7.4%).
Revenue growth
- -2.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-2.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 7.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 3.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 4.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -1%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.23, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩46B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩3B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩619M
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩1.1B
- Shares
- 10,547,012
- Share price
- ₩3,265
- Market cap
- ₩34B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩34B | ₩42B | ₩41B | ₩45B | ₩44B | ₩44B | ₩45B | ₩46B |
| Growth | −23.9% | 23.4% | −1.8% | −2.7% | −1.3% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩808M | ₩1.2B | ₩2B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.3B | ₩3.4B |
| EBIT margin | −2.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩586M | ₩858M | ₩1.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.8B |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.2B | ₩789M | ₩2.3B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.1B | ₩2.2B |
| − Working capital | −₩9.8B | ₩3.7B | −₩4.8B | ₩12M | ₩5.8M | −₩880,475 | −₩7.1M | −₩13M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩2B | ₩2B | ₩2B | ₩2B | ₩2.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.934 | 0.872 | 0.814 | 0.760 | 0.709 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.8B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B |
Terminal value ₩46B, worth ₩33B today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩7,443 a share)Now 0.44× | ₩3,0210.41× | ₩4,1540.56× | ₩7,2350.97× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩678 a share)Now 4.82× | ₩3,7025.46× | ₩7,31610.8× | ₩13,46319.9× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,064 a share)Now 3.07× | ₩5,8115.46× | ₩11,48310.8× | ₩21,13119.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | ₩3,676 | ₩4,045 | ₩4,504 | ₩5,091 | ₩5,865 |
| 6.6% | ₩3,311 | ₩3,609 | ₩3,972 | ₩4,423 | ₩4,999 |
| 7.1% | ₩3,007 | ₩3,252 | ₩3,544 | ₩3,901 | ₩4,344 |
| 7.6% | ₩2,748 | ₩2,952 | ₩3,193 | ₩3,481 | ₩3,831 |
| 8.1% | ₩2,526 | ₩2,698 | ₩2,899 | ₩3,135 | ₩3,418 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩34B
- Enterprise value
- ₩37B
- P/E
- 4.8×
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 1.2%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,935 | ₩2,520 | ₩4,065 | ₩3,900 | ₩5,420 |
| Market cap | ₩31B | ₩27B | ₩43B | ₩41B | ₩57B |
| P/E | 6.5× | 11.9× | — | 8.6× | 10.3× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.9× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 0.6× | 1.3× | 0.9× | 1.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.4% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sungwoo Techron | 4.8× | 0.4× | 0.8× | — | 1.2% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 96.8× | 9.5× | 7.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 39.2× | 5.5× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 71.2× | 2.8× | 3.0× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.1× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 35.4× | 8.3× | 5.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 44.8× | 7.0× | 5.0× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 42.0× | 6.3× | 4.0× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Sungwoo Techron / 성우테크론 / 045300 / KRX:045300
Source: KRX statistical information