Atec에이텍
045660 · KOSDAQ · ₩045660 · 에이텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,149
vs the current price (₩8,170)
- Enterprise value
- ₩15B
- Equity value
- ₩26B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 61% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩8,170, the model needs an operating margin of 4.6% every year (it uses 3.6%).
- Or revenue growth +15.2 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- Today's P/E is 9.6× against a typical 16.7× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- ₩3,149
- −61.5%
- Bull
- ₩21,895
- +168.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.6%).
Revenue growth
- 20.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 16.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 11.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 7.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (20.5% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 11.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 5.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.06, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩194B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩2.4B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩14B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩1.3B
- Shares
- 8,260,000
- Share price
- ₩8,170
- Market cap
- ₩67B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩72B | ₩46B | ₩160B | ₩234B | ₩272B | ₩304B | ₩326B | ₩336B |
| Growth | −21.5% | −35.7% | 246.5% | 20.5% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩919M | ₩1.5B | ₩8.7B | ₩8.4B | ₩9.8B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩12B |
| EBIT margin | 1.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩666M | ₩1.1B | ₩6.3B | ₩6.1B | ₩7.1B | ₩7.9B | ₩8.5B | ₩8.8B |
| + Depreciation | ₩691M | ₩1.4B | ₩2.9B | ₩4.5B | ₩5.2B | ₩5.8B | ₩6.2B | ₩6.4B |
| − Capital spending | ₩5.4B | ₩11B | ₩6.1B | ₩27B | ₩32B | ₩35B | ₩38B | ₩39B |
| − Working capital | ₩108M | −₩23B | −₩23B | ₩2.1B | ₩2B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.2B | ₩509M |
| Free cash flow | −₩4.1B | ₩14B | ₩27B | −₩19B | −₩21B | −₩23B | −₩24B | −₩24B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.869 | 0.810 | 0.755 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩17B | −₩18B | −₩19B | −₩18B | −₩17B |
Terminal value ₩150B, worth ₩105B today: 687% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩13,203 a share)Now 0.62× | ₩9,7680.74× | ₩14,6401.11× | ₩27,8242.11× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩849 a share)Now 9.63× | ₩6,3767.51× | ₩14,16316.7× | ₩54,92764.7× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,707 a share)Now 3.02× | ₩20,3387.51× | ₩45,17816.7× | ₩175,20764.7× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩3,616 | ₩4,937 | ₩6,564 | ₩8,617 | ₩11,291 |
| 6.8% | ₩2,318 | ₩3,379 | ₩4,659 | ₩6,236 | ₩8,226 |
| 7.3% | ₩1,255 | ₩2,121 | ₩3,149 | ₩4,390 | ₩5,918 |
| 7.8% | ₩375 | ₩1,091 | ₩1,931 | ₩2,927 | ₩4,129 |
| 8.3% | — | ₩238 | ₩933 | ₩1,746 | ₩2,712 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩67B
- Enterprise value
- ₩69B
- P/E
- 9.6×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- 3.3×
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩9,990 | ₩29,300 | ₩13,050 | ₩8,600 | ₩24,350 |
| Market cap | ₩83B | ₩242B | ₩108B | ₩71B | ₩201B |
| P/E | 209.5× | 15.6× | 22.5× | 13.3× | 32.8× |
| P/B | 0.8× | 2.4× | 1.2× | 0.8× | 2.3× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 5.2× | 1.5× | 0.8× | 2.9× |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.7× | 85.5× | 66.2× | 36.6× | 50.8× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atec | 9.6× | 0.6× | 0.3× | 3.3× | 0.0% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 208.4× | 4.6× | 2.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 82.2× | 24.4× | 33.1× | 74.0× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,121.0× | 13.7× | 36.0× | 2,158.2× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,006.5× | 51.3× | 151.2× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 44.8× | 6.5× | 10.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,664.7× | 914.4× | 736.1× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 664.7× | 19.1× | 34.5× | 1,116.1× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Atec / 에이텍 / 045660 / KRX:045660
Source: KRX statistical information