POSCO International

047050 · KOSPI · ₩047050 · 포스코인터내셔널

₩49,250▼ ₩500 (1.01%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩44,755

vs the current price (₩49,250)

Enterprise value
₩14T
Equity value
₩7.9T
WACC
6.0%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩44,755
−9.1%
Bull
₩177,077
+259.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.2%).

Revenue growth

  • -5.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-5.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 3.2%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 2.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 3%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 10%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.07, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩34T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩5.8T
+ Stakes and investments
₩810B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩1T
Shares
175,922,788
Share price
₩49,250
Market cap
₩8.7T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩33T₩32T₩32T₩32T₩31T₩31T₩31T₩32T
Growth−12.8%−2.4%0.1%−5.2%−3.1%−1.1%1.0%3.0%
EBIT₩1.2T₩1.1T₩1.2T₩1T₩1T₩992B₩1T₩1T
EBIT margin3.5%3.5%3.6%3.2%3.2%3.2%3.2%3.2%
After-tax EBIT₩843B₩810B₩845B₩750B₩727B₩719B₩726B₩748B
+ Depreciation———₩776B₩752B₩744B₩751B₩774B
− Capital spending₩728B₩1.1T₩1.1T₩970B₩940B₩930B₩939B₩967B
− Working capital₩440B₩365B−₩1T−₩177B−₩100B−₩34B₩31B₩94B
Free cash flow———₩734B₩639B₩567B₩507B₩461B
Discount factor———0.9430.8890.8390.7910.746
Present value———₩692B₩568B₩476B₩401B₩343B

Terminal value ₩15T, worth ₩11T today: 82% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩39,756 a share)Now 1.24×₩39,2170.99×₩52,7391.33×₩74,2771.87×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,709 a share)Now 10.5×₩33,9557.21×₩63,61013.5×₩104,19222.1×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩5,420 a share)Now 9.09×₩39,0867.21×₩73,22313.5×₩119,93622.1×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.0%₩51,174₩59,527₩70,602₩86,004₩108,913
5.5%₩41,709₩47,915₩55,852₩66,376₩81,011
6.0%₩34,126₩38,863₩44,755₩52,291₩62,281
6.5%₩27,916₩31,611₩36,104₩41,692₩48,838
7.0%₩22,738₩25,670₩29,171₩33,427₩38,721

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩8.7T
Enterprise value
₩14T
P/E
10.5×
P/B
1.2×
P/S
0.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
3.8%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩49,600₩39,650₩62,400₩22,600₩22,450
Market cap₩8.7T₩7T₩11T₩4T₩3.9T
P/E14.2×13.6×16.3×6.7×10.9×
P/B1.3×1.1×1.8×1.0×1.1×
P/S0.3×0.2×0.3×0.1×0.1×
EV/EBITDA———5.6×7.7×
Dividend yield3.7%3.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
POSCO International10.5×1.2×0.3×—3.8%
Samsung C&T18.8×0.5×1.2×—0.9%
ISC45.4×6.1×12.7×—0.5%
Youngone5.1×0.7×0.7×—3.1%
Dong SUH Companies19.2×1.6×5.1×—4.1%
Shinsegae13.9×0.4×0.3×—2.1%
SK Gas7.3×0.6×0.3×—3.6%
Similar companies (median)16.3×0.6×1.0×—2.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: POSCO International / 포스코인터내셔널 / 047050 / KRX:047050

Source: KRX statistical information