Hanbit Soft한빛소프트
047080 · KOSDAQ · ₩047080 · 한빛소프트
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩425
vs the current price (₩1,049)
- Enterprise value
- −₩546M
- Equity value
- ₩11B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 60% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,049, the model needs an operating margin of 4.9% every year (it uses 0.4%).
- Margins ranged from −25.2% to 6.3% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 75% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
- The group includes a financial business (an insurer, bank or broker), whose investments and minority shareholders are left out here. A sum-of-the-parts view usually fits groups like this better.
- Today's P/E is 3.3× against a typical 21.6× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩231
- −78.0%
- Base
- ₩425
- −59.5%
- Bull
- ₩802
- −23.6%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.4%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 0.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.9%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 3.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.02, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩33B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩11B
- Shares
- 24,822,362
- Share price
- ₩1,049
- Market cap
- ₩26B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩26B | ₩33B | ₩38B | ₩30B | ₩28B | ₩27B | ₩27B | ₩27B |
| Growth | −54.0% | 28.4% | 13.8% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩6.5B | −₩1.4B | ₩284M | ₩119M | ₩111M | ₩107M | ₩107M | ₩110M |
| EBIT margin | −25.2% | −4.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩4.7B | −₩1B | ₩206M | ₩86M | ₩80M | ₩77M | ₩77M | ₩80M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩860M | ₩803M | ₩775M | ₩773M | ₩796M |
| − Capital spending | ₩2.5B | ₩268M | ₩118M | ₩1.1B | ₩997M | ₩962M | ₩960M | ₩989M |
| − Working capital | −₩12B | ₩2.2B | ₩988M | −₩129M | −₩78M | −₩38M | −₩2.1M | ₩31M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩6.9M | −₩36M | −₩72M | −₩107M | −₩144M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩6.4M | −₩31M | −₩58M | −₩81M | −₩101M |
Terminal value −₩404M, worth −₩283M today: 52% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩854 a share)Now 1.23× | ₩1,5841.85× | ₩3,0733.60× | ₩5,7326.71× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩314 a share)Now 3.34× | ₩1,0493.34× | ₩6,78321.6× | ₩16,32452.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩168 a share)Now 6.23× | ₩5633.34× | ₩3,64221.6× | ₩8,76552.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩430 | ₩426 | ₩421 | ₩415 | ₩407 |
| 6.9% | ₩430 | ₩427 | ₩423 | ₩418 | ₩411 |
| 7.4% | ₩431 | ₩428 | ₩425 | ₩420 | ₩415 |
| 7.9% | ₩432 | ₩429 | ₩426 | ₩422 | ₩418 |
| 8.4% | ₩432 | ₩430 | ₩427 | ₩424 | ₩420 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩26B
- Enterprise value
- ₩15B
- P/E
- 3.3×
- P/B
- 1.2×
- P/S
- 0.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,188 | ₩1,245 | ₩2,845 | ₩3,040 | ₩5,280 |
| Market cap | ₩29B | ₩31B | ₩71B | ₩75B | ₩131B |
| P/E | 5.7× | 18.0× | — | 37.1× | 516.7× |
| P/B | 1.7× | 2.6× | 7.0× | 3.9× | 7.6× |
| P/S | 0.8× | 0.9× | 2.7× | 1.3× | 2.0× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanbit Soft | 3.3× | 1.2× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 50.3× | 5.1× | 2.1× | — | 0.5% |
| Krafton | 10.1× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 7.0× | 1.2× | 2.1× | 8.4× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.0× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.1× | 3.0× | 5.2× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 8.9× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.1× | 6.8× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Hanbit Soft / 한빛소프트 / 047080 / KRX:047080
Source: KRX statistical information