Codes Combine코데즈컴바인
047770 · KOSDAQ · ₩047770 · 코데즈컴바인
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,300
vs the current price (₩2,970)
- Enterprise value
- ₩45B
- Equity value
- ₩49B
- WACC
- 7.5%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 56% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩2,970, the model needs an operating margin of 19.1% every year (it uses 8.2%).
- Or revenue growth +21.4 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Margins ranged from 2.7% to 11.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 67% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 12.0× against a typical 15.3× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩765
- −74.2%
- Base
- ₩1,300
- −56.2%
- Bull
- ₩2,203
- −25.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (8.2%).
Revenue growth
- 0.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 2.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (0.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 8.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 3.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 1.2%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.62
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.43, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩44B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩6.7B
- − Minority interests
- ₩2.3B
- Shares
- 37,842,602
- Share price
- ₩2,970
- Market cap
- ₩112B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩42B | ₩40B | ₩40B | ₩44B | ₩45B | ₩46B | ₩47B | ₩48B |
| Growth | 7.4% | −5.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩2.9B | ₩1.1B | ₩2.4B | ₩3.6B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.7B | ₩3.8B | ₩3.9B |
| EBIT margin | 7.0% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩2.1B | ₩768M | ₩1.8B | ₩2.6B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.7B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.9B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.1B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B |
| − Capital spending | ₩3.3B | ₩603M | ₩134M | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B |
| − Working capital | ₩2B | −₩5.4B | −₩1.5B | ₩3.2M | ₩6.4M | ₩9.7M | ₩13M | ₩17M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩2.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩2.6B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.930 | 0.865 | 0.805 | 0.748 | 0.696 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩2.2B | ₩2.1B | ₩2B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.8B |
Terminal value ₩50B, worth ₩35B today: 78% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩2,036 a share)Now 1.46× | ₩1,7430.86× | ₩2,4821.22× | ₩3,6221.78× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩247 a share)Now 12.0× | ₩2,0448.26× | ₩3,79115.3× | ₩8,51934.4× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩632 a share)Now 4.70× | ₩5,2238.26× | ₩9,68815.3× | ₩21,76834.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | ₩1,344 | ₩1,444 | ₩1,566 | ₩1,718 | ₩1,914 |
| 7.0% | ₩1,240 | ₩1,322 | ₩1,420 | ₩1,540 | ₩1,689 |
| 7.5% | ₩1,153 | ₩1,220 | ₩1,300 | ₩1,396 | ₩1,514 |
| 8.0% | ₩1,077 | ₩1,134 | ₩1,201 | ₩1,279 | ₩1,373 |
| 8.5% | ₩1,012 | ₩1,060 | ₩1,116 | ₩1,181 | ₩1,258 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩112B
- Enterprise value
- ₩105B
- P/E
- 12.0×
- P/B
- 1.5×
- P/S
- 2.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩2,835 | ₩1,535 | ₩1,791 | ₩1,745 | ₩2,585 |
| Market cap | ₩107B | ₩58B | ₩68B | ₩66B | ₩98B |
| P/E | 24.1× | 31.2× | 18.3× | 8.7× | 14.8× |
| P/B | 1.5× | 0.9× | 1.1× | 1.1× | 1.9× |
| P/S | 2.7× | 1.5× | 1.6× | 1.7× | 2.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Codes Combine / 코데즈컴바인 / 047770 / KRX:047770
Source: KRX statistical information