DAE Dong Steel

048470 · KOSDAQ · ₩048470 · 대동스틸

₩2,520▼ ₩25 (0.98%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩13B
Equity value
−₩4.2B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,520, the model needs an operating margin of 1.4% every year (it uses −0.8%).
  • Margins ranged from −3.3% to 10.6% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 72% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 8.1× against a typical 22.1× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
₩2,083
−17.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−0.8%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-13.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -0.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 0.1%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 28.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.19, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩124B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩8.6B
Shares
9,650,000
Share price
₩2,520
Market cap
₩24B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩138B₩140B₩119B₩111B₩104B₩100B₩100B₩103B
Growth−24.6%1.5%−14.7%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT−₩2.4B−₩2B−₩1.2B−₩890M−₩830M−₩801M−₩800M−₩824M
EBIT margin−1.8%−1.4%−1.0%−0.8%−0.8%−0.8%−0.8%−0.8%
After-tax EBIT−₩1.8B−₩1.4B−₩846M−₩645M−₩602M−₩581M−₩580M−₩597M
+ Depreciation———₩111M₩104M₩100M₩100M₩103M
− Capital spending——₩174M₩111M₩104M₩100M₩100M₩103M
− Working capital₩3.2B−₩10B₩15B−₩3.5B−₩2.1B−₩1B−₩56M₩846M
Free cash flow———₩2.8B₩1.5B₩443M−₩523M−₩1.4B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———₩2.6B₩1.3B₩358M−₩393M−₩1B

Terminal value −₩22B, worth −₩16B today: 123% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩7,759 a share)Now 0.32×₩2,9640.38×₩3,9780.51×₩5,5230.71×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩310 a share)Now 8.14×₩1,4474.67×₩6,85222.1×₩23,38575.5×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩982 a share)Now 2.57×₩4,5864.67×₩21,71822.1×₩74,11675.5×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%—————
6.9%₩48————
7.4%₩161————
7.9%₩258₩17———
8.4%₩340₩127———

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩24B
Enterprise value
₩16B
P/E
8.1×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
1.2%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩2,795₩3,125₩4,090₩4,025₩5,830
Market cap₩27B₩30B₩39B₩39B₩56B
P/E97.6×67.2×——3.9×
P/B0.4×0.4×0.6×0.5×0.7×
P/S0.2×0.2×0.3×0.2×0.3×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.1%1.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
DAE Dong Steel8.1×0.3×0.2×—1.2%
Samsung C&T18.8×0.5×1.2×—0.9%
POSCO International10.6×1.3×0.3×—3.7%
ISC45.3×6.0×12.6×—0.5%
Youngone5.1×0.7×0.7×—3.1%
Dong SUH Companies18.9×1.6×5.1×—4.2%
Shinsegae14.4×0.5×0.3×—2.0%
Similar companies (median)16.6×1.0×1.0×—2.6%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: DAE Dong Steel / 대동스틸 / 048470 / KRX:048470

Source: KRX statistical information