Gigalane기가레인
049080 · KOSDAQ · ₩049080 · 기가레인
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩99B
- Equity value
- −₩101B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩6,970, the model needs an operating margin of 16.0% every year (it uses −20.0%).
- Margins ranged from −30.9% to 5.7% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).
Revenue growth
- -9.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-9.7% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -20%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 11.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 14.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 5.9%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -1.66, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩42B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩921M
- − Minority interests
- ₩1.7B
- Shares
- 8,488,334
- Share price
- ₩6,970
- Market cap
- ₩59B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩44B | ₩42B | ₩40B | ₩38B | ₩35B | ₩34B | ₩34B | ₩35B |
| Growth | −19.1% | −5.9% | −3.3% | −9.7% | −6.5% | −3.3% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩12B | −₩7.4B | −₩12B | −₩7.5B | −₩7.1B | −₩6.8B | −₩6.8B | −₩7B |
| EBIT margin | −26.6% | −17.6% | −30.9% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% | −20.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩8.5B | −₩5.3B | −₩9B | −₩5.5B | −₩5.1B | −₩4.9B | −₩4.9B | −₩5.1B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩4.3B | ₩4B | ₩3.9B | ₩3.8B | ₩4B |
| − Capital spending | ₩981M | ₩6.6B | ₩9.9B | ₩5.3B | ₩5B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.9B |
| − Working capital | −₩6B | −₩24B | ₩3.1B | −₩239M | −₩145M | −₩69M | −₩4M | ₩60M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩6.3B | −₩6B | −₩5.8B | −₩5.9B | −₩6.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.702 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩5.9B | −₩5.2B | −₩4.7B | −₩4.4B | −₩4.3B |
Terminal value −₩106B, worth −₩74B today: 75% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩4,402 a share)Now 1.58× | ₩4,0310.92× | ₩8,1001.84× | ₩12,8382.92× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩59B
- Enterprise value
- ₩59B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 1.6×
- P/S
- 1.4×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩5,110 | ₩5,480 | ₩12,100 | ₩14,000 | ₩23,649 |
| Market cap | ₩43B | ₩47B | ₩103B | ₩119B | ₩201B |
| P/E | — | — | — | — | 53.9× |
| P/B | 1.0× | 0.9× | 1.9× | 1.9× | 3.2× |
| P/S | 1.1× | 1.1× | 2.3× | 2.2× | 2.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gigalane | — | 1.6× | 1.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 96.8× | 9.5× | 7.8× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 39.2× | 5.5× | 0.7× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 71.2× | 2.8× | 3.0× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.1× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 35.4× | 8.3× | 5.4× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 44.8× | 7.0× | 5.0× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 42.0× | 6.3× | 4.0× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Gigalane / 기가레인 / 049080 / KRX:049080
Source: KRX statistical information