Fine DNC

049120 · KOSDAQ · ₩049120 · 파인디앤씨

₩2,425▼ ₩35 (1.42%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩75B
Equity value
−₩99B
WACC
9.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩2,425, the model needs an operating margin of 13.6% every year (it uses −12.4%).
  • Margins ranged from −30.5% to −1.1% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−12.4%).

Revenue growth

  • 4.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (4.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -12.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 13.6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 17%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • -0.5%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 1.95

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 2.42, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩47B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩31B
+ Stakes and investments
₩7.4B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
12,688,620
Share price
₩2,425
Market cap
₩31B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩43B₩65B₩66B₩49B₩50B₩52B₩54B₩56B
Growth−25.4%49.5%1.2%4.1%3.8%3.6%3.3%3.0%
EBIT−₩9.6B−₩745M−₩4.1B−₩6B−₩6.3B−₩6.5B−₩6.7B−₩6.9B
EBIT margin−22.1%−1.1%−6.2%−12.4%−12.4%−12.4%−12.4%−12.4%
After-tax EBIT−₩7B−₩540M−₩3B−₩4.4B−₩4.5B−₩4.7B−₩4.9B−₩5B
+ Depreciation———₩6.6B₩6.9B₩7.1B₩7.3B₩7.6B
− Capital spending₩13B₩9.4B₩4.1B₩8.3B₩8.6B₩8.9B₩9.2B₩9.5B
− Working capital−₩17B₩15B−₩5.1B−₩9.6M−₩9.2M−₩9.1M−₩8.6M−₩8.1M
Free cash flow———−₩6B−₩6.2B−₩6.5B−₩6.7B−₩6.9B
Discount factor———0.9140.8350.7630.6970.637
Present value———−₩5.5B−₩5.2B−₩4.9B−₩4.7B−₩4.4B

Terminal value −₩79B, worth −₩50B today: 67% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩3,741 a share)Now 0.65×₩3,1020.83×₩8,3342.23×₩12,5513.35×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
8.4%—————
8.9%—————
9.4%—————
9.9%—————
10.4%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩31B
Enterprise value
₩62B
P/E
—
P/B
0.6×
P/S
0.7×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩3,305₩5,120₩5,420₩8,000₩12,850
Market cap₩42B₩65B₩69B₩102B₩163B
P/E—————
P/B0.8×1.8×2.3×3.7×3.7×
P/S0.6×1.0×1.6×1.7×5.5×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Fine DNC—0.6×0.7×—0.0%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics96.8×9.5×7.8×—0.2%
Doosan39.2×5.5×0.7×—0.4%
Hanwha Systems71.2×2.8×3.0×—0.8%
LG Innotek13.1×1.4×0.4×—0.5%
Isupetasys35.4×8.3×5.4×—0.0%
Daeduck Electronics44.8×7.0×5.0×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)42.0×6.3×4.0×—0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Fine DNC / 파인디앤씨 / 049120 / KRX:049120

Source: KRX statistical information