Komelon

049430 · KOSDAQ · ₩049430 · 코메론

₩20,700▲ ₩100 (0.49%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩46,363

vs the current price (₩20,700)

Enterprise value
₩200B
Equity value
₩370B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 124% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩20,700, the model needs an operating margin of 1.3% every year (it uses 22.9%).
  • Margins ranged from 12.7% to 27.0% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 45% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 5.4× against a typical 4.5× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩38,410
+85.6%
Base
₩46,363
+124.0%
Bull
₩59,551
+187.7%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (22.9%).

Revenue growth

  • -4.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-4.4% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 22.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 6%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 7.5%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 38%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.1, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩78B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩124B
+ Stakes and investments
₩46B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩885,025
Shares
7,988,324
Share price
₩20,700
Market cap
₩165B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩71B₩74B₩72B₩74B₩72B₩72B₩73B₩75B
Growth−14.7%4.8%−2.3%−4.4%−2.5%−0.7%1.2%3.0%
EBIT₩9B₩20B₩18B₩17B₩17B₩16B₩17B₩17B
EBIT margin12.7%27.0%24.9%22.9%22.9%22.9%22.9%22.9%
After-tax EBIT₩6.5B₩14B₩13B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩12B₩12B
+ Depreciation———₩4.5B₩4.3B₩4.3B₩4.4B₩4.5B
− Capital spending₩10B₩2.6B₩3.5B₩5.6B₩5.4B₩5.4B₩5.5B₩5.6B
− Working capital−₩11B−₩22B₩4.7B−₩1.3B−₩705M−₩193M₩328M₩829M
Free cash flow———₩13B₩12B₩11B₩11B₩10B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩12B₩10B₩8.9B₩8B₩7.4B

Terminal value ₩219B, worth ₩154B today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩32,071 a share)Now 0.65×₩10,8110.34×₩12,4330.39×₩19,9080.62×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩3,857 a share)Now 5.37×₩13,1593.41×₩17,1994.46×₩22,9025.94×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩7,190 a share)Now 2.88×₩24,5303.41×₩32,0604.46×₩42,6915.94×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩47,741₩49,712₩52,136₩55,194₩59,173
6.8%₩45,462₩47,043₩48,949₩51,296₩54,255
7.3%₩43,544₩44,834₩46,363₩48,208₩50,479
7.8%₩41,909₩42,975₩44,222₩45,702₩47,487
8.3%₩40,498₩41,389₩42,421₩43,627₩45,059

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩165B
Enterprise value
₩42B
P/E
5.4×
P/B
0.6×
P/S
2.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
3.4%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩13,940₩10,310₩9,130₩9,920₩11,100
Market cap₩111B₩82B₩73B₩79B₩89B
P/E4.9×3.0×4.8×5.0×4.5×
P/B0.4×0.4×0.4×0.4×0.5×
P/S1.5×1.1×1.0×1.0×1.1×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield5.0%2.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Komelon5.4×0.6×2.1×—3.4%
TSE23.5×5.2×4.3×—0.2%
Kctech19.8×3.0×3.6×15.3×0.5%
Classys12.4×3.1×4.6×9.7×3.8%
Park Systems66.3×4.5×7.9×—0.2%
DI37.8×5.2×2.3×—0.6%
LivsMed—6.1×19.4×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)23.5×4.8×4.5×12.5×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Komelon / 코메론 / 049430 / KRX:049430

Source: KRX statistical information