Seung IL

049830 · KOSDAQ · ₩049830 · 승일

₩6,390▼ ₩30 (0.47%)End-of-day · Oct 29, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩7,882

vs the current price (₩6,390)

Enterprise value
₩14B
Equity value
₩48B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩3,541
−44.6%
Base
₩7,882
+23.4%
Bull
₩16,328
+155.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.4%).

Revenue growth

  • -3.8%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 1.4%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 1.4%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 1.7%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 18.8%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.12, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩146B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩31B
+ Stakes and investments
₩3.2B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
6,132,112
Share price
₩6,390
Market cap
₩39B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩142B₩144B₩142B₩140B₩137B₩137B₩139B₩143B
Growth−10.7%1.8%−2.0%−3.8%−2.1%−0.4%1.3%3.0%
EBIT₩598M₩2.3B₩2.3B₩2B₩1.9B₩1.9B₩1.9B₩2B
EBIT margin0.4%1.6%1.6%1.4%1.4%1.4%1.4%1.4%
After-tax EBIT₩433M₩1.7B₩1.7B₩1.4B₩1.4B₩1.4B₩1.4B₩1.4B
+ Depreciation———₩2B₩1.9B₩1.9B₩1.9B₩2B
− Capital spending₩1.1B₩3.5B₩2.8B₩2.4B₩2.3B₩2.3B₩2.4B₩2.4B
− Working capital₩192M−₩6.8B₩3.1B−₩1B−₩554M−₩103M₩334M₩782M
Free cash flow———₩2B₩1.5B₩1.1B₩657M₩239M
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8080.7520.700
Present value———₩1.9B₩1.3B₩874M₩494M₩167M

Terminal value ₩14B, worth ₩9.5B today: 66% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩24,875 a share)Now 0.26×₩7,5080.30×₩9,2050.37×₩13,6610.55×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩519 a share)Now 12.3×₩6,03411.6×₩9,89819.1×₩21,27141.0×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,211 a share)Now 5.28×₩14,07011.6×₩23,08219.1×₩49,60341.0×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩8,559₩8,463₩8,341₩8,183₩7,974
6.9%₩8,317₩8,215₩8,088₩7,929₩7,725
7.4%₩8,113₩8,009₩7,882₩7,727₩7,532
7.9%₩7,939₩7,835₩7,711₩7,562₩7,378
8.4%₩7,789₩7,687₩7,567₩7,424₩7,252

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩39B
Enterprise value
−₩1.2B
P/E
12.3×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
2.3%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩8,600₩7,470₩10,300₩11,850₩13,750
Market cap₩53B₩46B₩63B₩73B₩84B
P/E21.0×12.5×151.3×55.4×21.7×
P/B0.4×0.3×0.4×0.5×0.6×
P/S0.4×0.3×0.4×0.5×0.6×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield1.7%1.6%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Seung IL12.3×0.3×0.3×—2.3%
CS Wind372.3×1.3×0.6×—2.6%
Hankuk Carbon7.8×1.2×0.9×—2.1%
Taewoong63.8×0.8×1.3×20.4×0.0%
YG-15.3×0.8×0.5×—1.8%
Bosung Power Technology18.9×2.1×1.8×8.6×0.0%
Hansun Engineering36.1×2.6×3.0×14.4×0.0%
Similar companies (median)27.5×1.2×1.1×14.4×0.9%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Seung IL / 승일 / 049830 / KRX:049830

Source: KRX statistical information