Seung IL승일
049830 · KOSDAQ · ₩049830 · 승일
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩7,882
vs the current price (₩6,390)
- Enterprise value
- ₩14B
- Equity value
- ₩48B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩3,541
- −44.6%
- Base
- ₩7,882
- +23.4%
- Bull
- ₩16,328
- +155.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.4%).
Revenue growth
- -3.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 1.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 1.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.4%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 18.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.12, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩146B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩31B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3.2B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 6,132,112
- Share price
- ₩6,390
- Market cap
- ₩39B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩142B | ₩144B | ₩142B | ₩140B | ₩137B | ₩137B | ₩139B | ₩143B |
| Growth | −10.7% | 1.8% | −2.0% | −3.8% | −2.1% | −0.4% | 1.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩598M | ₩2.3B | ₩2.3B | ₩2B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B |
| EBIT margin | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩433M | ₩1.7B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B | ₩1.4B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩2B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.9B | ₩1.9B | ₩2B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.1B | ₩3.5B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.3B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.4B |
| − Working capital | ₩192M | −₩6.8B | ₩3.1B | −₩1B | −₩554M | −₩103M | ₩334M | ₩782M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩2B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.1B | ₩657M | ₩239M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.808 | 0.752 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩1.9B | ₩1.3B | ₩874M | ₩494M | ₩167M |
Terminal value ₩14B, worth ₩9.5B today: 66% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩24,875 a share)Now 0.26× | ₩7,5080.30× | ₩9,2050.37× | ₩13,6610.55× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩519 a share)Now 12.3× | ₩6,03411.6× | ₩9,89819.1× | ₩21,27141.0× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,211 a share)Now 5.28× | ₩14,07011.6× | ₩23,08219.1× | ₩49,60341.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩8,559 | ₩8,463 | ₩8,341 | ₩8,183 | ₩7,974 |
| 6.9% | ₩8,317 | ₩8,215 | ₩8,088 | ₩7,929 | ₩7,725 |
| 7.4% | ₩8,113 | ₩8,009 | ₩7,882 | ₩7,727 | ₩7,532 |
| 7.9% | ₩7,939 | ₩7,835 | ₩7,711 | ₩7,562 | ₩7,378 |
| 8.4% | ₩7,789 | ₩7,687 | ₩7,567 | ₩7,424 | ₩7,252 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩39B
- Enterprise value
- −₩1.2B
- P/E
- 12.3×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 2.3%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩8,600 | ₩7,470 | ₩10,300 | ₩11,850 | ₩13,750 |
| Market cap | ₩53B | ₩46B | ₩63B | ₩73B | ₩84B |
| P/E | 21.0× | 12.5× | 151.3× | 55.4× | 21.7× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.6× |
| P/S | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 1.7% | 1.6% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seung IL | 12.3× | 0.3× | 0.3× | — | 2.3% |
| CS Wind | 372.3× | 1.3× | 0.6× | — | 2.6% |
| Hankuk Carbon | 7.8× | 1.2× | 0.9× | — | 2.1% |
| Taewoong | 63.8× | 0.8× | 1.3× | 20.4× | 0.0% |
| YG-1 | 5.3× | 0.8× | 0.5× | — | 1.8% |
| Bosung Power Technology | 18.9× | 2.1× | 1.8× | 8.6× | 0.0% |
| Hansun Engineering | 36.1× | 2.6× | 3.0× | 14.4× | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 27.5× | 1.2× | 1.1× | 14.4× | 0.9% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Seung IL / 승일 / 049830 / KRX:049830
Source: KRX statistical information