meerecompany미래컴퍼니
049950 · KOSDAQ · ₩049950 · 미래컴퍼니
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩59B
- Equity value
- −₩32B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩9,370, the model needs an operating margin of 8.6% every year (it uses −7.7%).
- Margins ranged from −60.4% to 16.5% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−7.7%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-35.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-35.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-35.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-35.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-35.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -7.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 2.2%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.62
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.43, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩67B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩20B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩16B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩8.6B
- Shares
- 8,817,884
- Share price
- ₩9,370
- Market cap
- ₩83B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩109B | ₩67B | ₩41B | ₩61B | ₩57B | ₩55B | ₩55B | ₩56B |
| Growth | −29.3% | −38.5% | −39.2% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩1.7B | −₩17B | −₩25B | −₩4.7B | −₩4.4B | −₩4.2B | −₩4.2B | −₩4.3B |
| EBIT margin | −1.6% | −25.0% | −60.4% | −7.7% | −7.7% | −7.7% | −7.7% | −7.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩1.3B | −₩12B | −₩18B | −₩3.4B | −₩3.2B | −₩3.1B | −₩3B | −₩3.1B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩1.3B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B | ₩1.2B |
| − Capital spending | ₩4.1B | ₩1.6B | ₩821M | ₩1.6B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B |
| − Working capital | −₩14B | ₩10B | −₩2.4B | −₩2.7B | −₩1.6B | −₩794M | −₩44M | ₩655M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩995M | −₩1.8B | −₩2.5B | −₩3.3B | −₩4.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.699 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩926M | −₩1.6B | −₩2B | −₩2.5B | −₩2.8B |
Terminal value −₩70B, worth −₩49B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩12,338 a share)Now 0.76× | ₩14,0121.14× | ₩18,5021.50× | ₩27,1382.20× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,634 a share)Now 5.73× | ₩11,4907.03× | ₩22,20713.6× | ₩50,70531.0× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩83B
- Enterprise value
- ₩63B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 1.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩17,310 | ₩19,660 | ₩35,050 | ₩17,650 | ₩32,650 |
| Market cap | ₩153B | ₩173B | ₩309B | ₩156B | ₩288B |
| P/E | — | — | 87.3× | 5.3× | 44.8× |
| P/B | 1.5× | 1.4× | 2.3× | 1.2× | 2.8× |
| P/S | 3.7× | 2.6× | 2.8× | 1.0× | 2.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| meerecompany | — | 0.8× | 1.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 200.6× | 4.5× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 84.5× | 25.1× | 34.0× | 76.1× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,135.2× | 13.9× | 36.4× | 2,185.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,308.5× | 55.2× | 162.6× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.1× | 6.8× | 11.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,805.1× | 923.8× | 743.7× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 667.9× | 19.5× | 35.2× | 1,130.9× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: meerecompany / 미래컴퍼니 / 049950 / KRX:049950
Source: KRX statistical information