CammSys캠시스
050110 · KOSDAQ · ₩050110 · 캠시스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩107B
- Equity value
- −₩159B
- WACC
- 5.2%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩5,430, the model needs an operating margin of 1.4% every year (it uses −0.8%).
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- ₩8,582
- +58.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Start from
Preliminary results are the company's early announcement of a quarter's sales and operating profit, before the full report. Including them swaps that quarter in for the same quarter a year earlier.
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−0.8%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12.6% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -0.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 2.1%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 10%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.03%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.13, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.53%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩500B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩55B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩3.3B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩136M
- Shares
- 5,844,964
- Share price
- ₩5,430
- Market cap
- ₩32B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩501B | ₩378B | ₩490B | ₩450B | ₩420B | ₩405B | ₩405B | ₩417B |
| Growth | −31.8% | −24.5% | 29.5% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩6.9B | −₩12B | −₩11B | −₩3.6B | −₩3.4B | −₩3.2B | −₩3.2B | −₩3.3B |
| EBIT margin | 1.4% | −3.1% | −2.3% | −0.8% | −0.8% | −0.8% | −0.8% | −0.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩5B | −₩8.5B | −₩8.2B | −₩2.6B | −₩2.4B | −₩2.4B | −₩2.3B | −₩2.4B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩7.7B | ₩7.1B | ₩6.9B | ₩6.9B | ₩7.1B |
| − Capital spending | ₩5.7B | ₩14B | ₩7.5B | ₩9.5B | ₩8.8B | ₩8.5B | ₩8.5B | ₩8.8B |
| − Working capital | ₩9.9B | −₩17B | ₩6.4B | −₩5B | −₩3B | −₩1.5B | −₩81M | ₩1.2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩590M | −₩1.1B | −₩2.5B | −₩3.9B | −₩5.3B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.950 | 0.903 | 0.858 | 0.816 | 0.775 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩561M | −₩994M | −₩2.1B | −₩3.2B | −₩4.1B |
Terminal value −₩125B, worth −₩97B today: 91% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩15,060 a share)Now 0.36× | ₩15,1881.01× | ₩30,5632.03× | ₩45,5013.02× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩32B
- Enterprise value
- ₩86B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.4×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩11,400 | ₩21,059 | ₩34,861 | ₩43,025 | ₩45,721 |
| Market cap | ₩67B | ₩123B | ₩204B | ₩251B | ₩267B |
| P/E | — | — | — | 40.0× | — |
| P/B | 1.2× | 1.6× | 2.5× | 2.4× | 3.1× |
| P/S | 0.1× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CammSys | — | 0.4× | 0.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics | 82.9× | 8.2× | 6.7× | — | 0.2% |
| Doosan | 34.9× | 4.9× | 0.6× | — | 0.4% |
| Hanwha Systems | 68.5× | 2.7× | 2.9× | — | 0.8% |
| LG Innotek | 13.1× | 1.4× | 0.4× | — | 0.5% |
| Isupetasys | 30.5× | 7.1× | 4.7× | — | 0.0% |
| Daeduck Electronics | 38.9× | 6.1× | 4.4× | — | 0.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 36.9× | 5.5× | 3.6× | — | 0.4% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: CammSys / 캠시스 / 050110 / KRX:050110
Source: KRX statistical information