S Polytech에스폴리텍
050760 · KOSDAQ · ₩050760 · 에스폴리텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.
- Enterprise value
- −₩35B
- Equity value
- −₩54B
- WACC
- 5.7%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,192, the model needs an operating margin of 4.9% every year (it uses −1.4%).
- Margins ranged from −7.2% to 4.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- —
- Base
- —
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−1.4%).
Revenue growth
- -6.8%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -4.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.8% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -1.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 8.7%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 21.5%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.09, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩71B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩19B
- Shares
- 16,334,678
- Share price
- ₩1,192
- Market cap
- ₩19B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩73B | ₩80B | ₩67B | ₩66B | ₩63B | ₩62B | ₩62B | ₩64B |
| Growth | −11.2% | 9.5% | −16.7% | −6.8% | −4.4% | −1.9% | 0.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩2.6B | ₩643M | −₩4.8B | −₩928M | −₩887M | −₩870M | −₩874M | −₩900M |
| EBIT margin | −3.5% | 0.8% | −7.2% | −1.4% | −1.4% | −1.4% | −1.4% | −1.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩1.9B | ₩466M | −₩3.5B | −₩672M | −₩643M | −₩631M | −₩634M | −₩653M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩4.6B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.3B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.5B |
| − Capital spending | ₩8B | ₩7.4B | ₩4B | ₩5.8B | ₩5.5B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.4B | ₩5.6B |
| − Working capital | ₩3.9B | ₩5.6B | −₩5.8B | −₩1B | −₩627M | −₩259M | ₩67M | ₩403M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩759M | −₩1.1B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.8B | −₩2.1B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.946 | 0.895 | 0.846 | 0.800 | 0.757 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩718M | −₩978M | −₩1.2B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.6B |
Terminal value −₩38B, worth −₩29B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩3,689 a share)Now 0.32× | ₩1,2800.35× | ₩1,7110.46× | ₩3,0130.82× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩19B
- Enterprise value
- ₩38B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,400 | ₩1,340 | ₩2,205 | ₩2,380 | ₩3,810 |
| Market cap | ₩23B | ₩22B | ₩36B | ₩39B | ₩62B |
| P/E | — | 4.4× | — | — | 12.1× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.3× | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.9× |
| P/S | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.5× | 0.5× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 1.9% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Polytech | — | 0.3× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology | 5.8× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 4.0% |
| Kumho Tire | 3.1× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Pum-Tech Korea | 19.8× | 2.5× | 2.1× | — | 0.7% |
| Dongwon Systems | 9.7× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 5.7× | 2.8% |
| Nexen Tire | 3.6× | 0.3× | 0.2× | — | 3.5% |
| PI Advanced Materials | 12.4× | 1.2× | 1.7× | 5.0× | 2.3% |
| Similar companies (median) | 7.7× | 0.6× | 0.4× | 5.4× | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: S Polytech / 에스폴리텍 / 050760 / KRX:050760
Source: KRX statistical information