Asia Technology아세아텍
050860 · KOSDAQ · ₩050860 · 아세아텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,565
vs the current price (₩1,700)
- Enterprise value
- ₩69B
- Equity value
- ₩58B
- WACC
- 6.6%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 51% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩1,700, the model needs an operating margin of 4.7% every year (it uses 6.0%).
- Or revenue growth −21.7 points a year higher than assumed in each of the 5 years.
- Today's P/E is 13.8× against a typical 7.9× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩923
- −45.7%
- Base
- ₩2,565
- +50.9%
- Bull
- ₩5,795
- +240.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.0%).
Revenue growth
- -6.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -1.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-6.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.5%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so a typical level.
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.08%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.11, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.58%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (FY 2025)
- ₩113B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩12B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩1.1B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 22,500,000
- Share price
- ₩1,700
- Market cap
- ₩38B
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩124B | ₩124B | ₩113B | ₩106B | ₩102B | ₩100B | ₩101B | ₩104B |
| Growth | −10.2% | 0.2% | −8.5% | −6.3% | −4.0% | −1.6% | 0.7% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩12B | ₩6.4B | ₩4B | ₩6.4B | ₩6.1B | ₩6B | ₩6.1B | ₩6.2B |
| EBIT margin | 9.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩8.6B | ₩4.6B | ₩2.9B | ₩4.6B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.4B | ₩4.5B |
| + Depreciation | ₩1.8B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.7B | ₩1.6B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.5B | ₩1.6B |
| − Capital spending | — | — | — | ₩4.2B | ₩4.1B | ₩4B | ₩4B | ₩4.2B |
| − Working capital | ₩14B | ₩26B | −₩8.9B | −₩2.9B | −₩1.7B | −₩652M | ₩281M | ₩1.2B |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩4.8B | ₩3.6B | ₩2.5B | ₩1.6B | ₩712M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.938 | 0.881 | 0.826 | 0.775 | 0.728 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩4.5B | ₩3.2B | ₩2.1B | ₩1.2B | ₩518M |
Terminal value ₩79B, worth ₩58B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩5,762 a share)Now 0.30× | ₩1,8840.33× | ₩2,3090.40× | ₩3,4480.60× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩123 a share)Now 13.8× | ₩6004.87× | ₩9787.94× | ₩1,83714.9× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6% | ₩2,984 | ₩3,189 | ₩3,450 | ₩3,794 | ₩4,269 |
| 6.1% | ₩2,624 | ₩2,771 | ₩2,953 | ₩3,183 | ₩3,487 |
| 6.6% | ₩2,329 | ₩2,436 | ₩2,565 | ₩2,723 | ₩2,925 |
| 7.1% | ₩2,083 | ₩2,161 | ₩2,254 | ₩2,365 | ₩2,502 |
| 7.6% | ₩1,875 | ₩1,933 | ₩1,999 | ₩2,078 | ₩2,172 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩38B
- Enterprise value
- ₩51B
- P/E
- 13.8×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- 8.9×
- Dividend yield
- 2.9%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,888 | ₩2,025 | ₩2,495 | ₩2,505 | ₩2,760 |
| Market cap | ₩42B | ₩46B | ₩56B | ₩56B | ₩62B |
| P/E | 15.3× | 9.9× | 5.9× | 4.8× | 13.0× |
| P/B | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.6× |
| P/S | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.6× | 7.8× | 3.6× | 2.9× | 6.6× |
| Dividend yield | 2.6% | 2.5% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia Technology | 13.8× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 8.9× | 2.9% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 200.6× | 4.5× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 84.5× | 25.1× | 34.0× | 76.1× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,135.2× | 13.9× | 36.4× | 2,185.7× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,308.5× | 55.2× | 162.6× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 47.1× | 6.8× | 11.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,805.1× | 923.8× | 743.7× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 667.9× | 19.5× | 35.2× | 1,130.9× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Asia Technology / 아세아텍 / 050860 / KRX:050860
Source: KRX statistical information