TOVISCo

051360 · KOSDAQ · ₩051360 · 토비스

₩11,550▲ ₩190 (1.67%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩73,033

vs the current price (₩11,550)

Enterprise value
₩644B
Equity value
₩684B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 532% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩11,550, the model needs an operating margin of 2.6% every year (it uses 6.3%).
  • Margins ranged from −0.3% to 9.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 2.0× against a typical 2.5× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩30,488
+164.0%
Base
₩73,033
+532.3%
Bull
₩148,197
+1,183.1%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.3%).

Revenue growth

  • 25%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (25% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 19.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (25% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 14%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (25% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 8.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (25% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (25% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 6.3%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 5.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 24.2%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.22, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩678B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩59B
+ Stakes and investments
₩6B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩26B
Shares
9,360,612
Share price
₩11,550
Market cap
₩108B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩447B₩624B₩640B₩848B₩1T₩1.2T₩1.3T₩1.3T
Growth36.3%39.4%2.7%25.0%19.5%14.0%8.5%3.0%
EBIT₩26B₩58B₩57B₩53B₩64B₩73B₩79B₩81B
EBIT margin5.7%9.4%8.9%6.3%6.3%6.3%6.3%6.3%
After-tax EBIT₩19B₩42B₩41B₩39B₩46B₩53B₩57B₩59B
+ Depreciation———₩40B₩48B₩54B₩59B₩61B
− Capital spending₩55B₩17B₩18B₩50B₩60B₩68B₩74B₩76B
− Working capital−₩5.6B−₩13B₩12B₩41B₩40B₩34B₩24B₩9.1B
Free cash flow———−₩12B−₩5.9B₩4.6B₩18B₩34B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8080.7520.700
Present value———−₩12B−₩5.1B₩3.7B₩14B₩24B

Terminal value ₩884B, worth ₩619B today: 96% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩32,256 a share)Now 0.36×₩9,2150.29×₩11,8750.37×₩17,3160.54×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩5,668 a share)Now 2.04×₩9,5801.69×₩14,4382.55×₩94,69016.7×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩6,004 a share)Now 1.92×₩10,1491.69×₩15,2942.55×₩100,30816.7×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩80,285₩85,640₩92,188₩100,393₩110,987
6.9%₩72,422₩76,601₩81,612₩87,740₩95,415
7.4%₩65,820₩69,130₩73,033₩77,712₩83,432
7.9%₩60,203₩62,855₩65,939₩69,576₩73,933
8.4%₩55,370₩57,517₩59,982₩62,849₩66,227

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩108B
Enterprise value
₩40B
P/E
2.0×
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.2×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
1.9%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩9,736₩12,411₩10,209₩5,898₩5,332
Market cap₩91B₩116B₩96B₩55B₩50B
P/E2.1×2.0×8.2×—39.6×
P/B0.3×0.5×0.5×0.3×0.3×
P/S0.1×0.2×0.2×0.2×0.2×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield2.2%1.5%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
TOVISCo2.0×0.4×0.2×—1.9%
Samsung Electronics9.5×2.5×2.9×—0.7%
LG Electronics25.3×1.0×0.3×—0.8%
Hanwha Vision17.0×2.1×1.1×—0.0%
RFHIC41.3×3.7×6.7×—0.8%
KMW—5.0×8.1×—0.0%
Intellian Technologies13.4×2.0×1.6×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)17.0×2.3×2.3×—0.5%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: TOVISCo / 토비스 / 051360 / KRX:051360

Source: KRX statistical information