KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering

051600 · KOSPI · ₩051600 · 한전KPS

₩40,500▲ ₩400 (1.00%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩48,838

vs the current price (₩40,500)

Enterprise value
₩2T
Equity value
₩2.2T
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩30,834
−23.9%
Base
₩48,838
+20.6%
Bull
₩80,100
+97.8%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (10.0%).

Revenue growth

  • 3.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (3.3% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 10%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 3.4%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 36.8%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.03%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-27.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.17, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.53%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩1.6T
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩167B
− Minority interests
₩82M
Shares
45,000,000
Share price
₩40,500
Market cap
₩1.8T

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩1.5T₩1.6T₩1.6T₩1.7T₩1.7T₩1.8T₩1.8T₩1.9T
Growth7.3%1.5%1.2%3.3%3.2%3.2%3.1%3.0%
EBIT₩199B₩209B₩140B₩168B₩173B₩179B₩184B₩190B
EBIT margin13.0%13.5%8.9%10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%
After-tax EBIT₩145B₩152B₩102B₩122B₩126B₩130B₩134B₩138B
+ Depreciation₩50B₩62B₩63B₩62B₩64B₩66B₩68B₩70B
− Capital spending₩44B₩52B₩65B₩57B₩59B₩61B₩63B₩65B
− Working capital₩173B₩3.5B−₩94B₩20B₩20B₩20B₩20B₩20B
Free cash flow−₩22B₩158B₩193B₩107B₩111B₩115B₩119B₩123B
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7530.702
Present value———₩100B₩96B₩93B₩89B₩86B

Terminal value ₩2.2T, worth ₩1.6T today: 77% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩29,928 a share)Now 1.35×₩37,0321.24×₩44,7341.49×₩54,6851.83×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩2,885 a share)Now 14.0×₩30,07710.4×₩40,97714.2×₩65,74322.8×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩3,404 a share)Now 11.9×₩35,48510.4×₩48,34514.2×₩77,56522.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩52,600₩55,570₩59,214₩63,793₩69,730
6.8%₩48,361₩50,690₩53,490₩56,923₩61,237
7.3%₩44,792₩46,647₩48,838₩51,473₩54,702
7.8%₩41,747₩43,242₩44,984₩47,043₩49,517
8.3%₩39,117₩40,335₩41,738₩43,371₩45,302

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩1.8T
Enterprise value
₩1.7T
P/E
14.0×
P/B
1.4×
P/S
1.1×
EV/EBITDA
7.9×
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩49,450₩44,100₩34,050₩33,200₩38,550
Market cap₩2.2T₩2T₩1.5T₩1.5T₩1.7T
P/E17.9×11.5×9.4×14.9×17.6×
P/B1.7×1.5×1.2×1.2×1.6×
P/S1.4×1.3×1.0×1.0×1.3×
EV/EBITDA10.3×6.9×6.0×7.8×10.0×
Dividend yield0.0%0.0%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering14.0×1.4×1.1×7.9×0.0%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction22.8×1.1×0.4×—0.9%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction—1.6×0.8×—0.0%
GS Engineering & Construction18.8×0.5×0.2×—1.7%
DL E&C3.5×0.4×0.3×—1.6%
Ipark Hyundai Development8.6×0.5×0.4×—2.9%
LS Marine Solution125.6×2.2×5.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)18.8×0.8×0.4×—1.2%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering / 한전KPS / 051600 / KRX:051600

Source: KRX statistical information