Joongang Advanced Materials

051980 · KOSDAQ · ₩051980 · 중앙첨단소재

₩8,410▼ ₩30 (0.36%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

With these assumptions the model gives no positive value.

Enterprise value
−₩41B
Equity value
−₩18B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model gives no positive value at these assumptions. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩8,410, the model needs an operating margin of 36.7% every year (it uses −20.0%).
  • Margins ranged from −41.7% to 0.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
—
Bull
—

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−20.0%).

Revenue growth

  • -10%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -6.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-12% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • -20%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 3.8%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.08%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-29.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.26, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.58%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩19B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩2.7B
+ Stakes and investments
₩20B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
11,109,170
Share price
₩8,410
Market cap
₩93B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩26B₩19B₩20B₩17B₩16B₩15B₩15B₩16B
Growth−9.5%−28.9%6.0%−10.0%−6.7%−3.5%−0.2%3.0%
EBIT₩47M−₩7.8B−₩4.6B−₩3.4B−₩3.1B−₩3B−₩3B−₩3.1B
EBIT margin0.2%−41.7%−23.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%−20.0%
After-tax EBIT₩34M−₩5.7B−₩3.3B−₩2.4B−₩2.3B−₩2.2B−₩2.2B−₩2.3B
+ Depreciation———₩504M₩471M₩454M₩453M₩467M
− Capital spending₩662M₩968M₩718M₩639M₩596M₩575M₩574M₩591M
− Working capital₩6.9B₩11B₩2.5B−₩747M−₩451M−₩220M−₩12M₩181M
Free cash flow———−₩1.8B−₩1.9B−₩2.1B−₩2.3B−₩2.6B
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8080.7520.700
Present value———−₩1.7B−₩1.7B−₩1.7B−₩1.7B−₩1.8B

Terminal value −₩46B, worth −₩32B today: 79% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩9,163 a share)Now 0.92×₩11,7521.28×₩36,5403.99×₩172,53918.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%—————
6.9%—————
7.4%—————
7.9%—————
8.4%—————

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩93B
Enterprise value
₩91B
P/E
—
P/B
0.9×
P/S
5.0×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩24,699₩83,897₩20,599₩13,200₩44,502
Market cap₩274B₩932B₩229B₩147B₩494B
P/E—————
P/B2.6×9.6×3.6×6.9×13.5×
P/S13.9×49.9×8.7×5.0×37.9×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Joongang Advanced Materials—0.9×5.0×—0.0%
Samsung Electronics9.5×2.5×2.9×—0.7%
LG Electronics25.3×1.0×0.3×—0.8%
Hanwha Vision17.0×2.1×1.1×—0.0%
RFHIC41.3×3.7×6.7×—0.8%
KMW—5.0×8.1×—0.0%
Intellian Technologies13.4×2.0×1.6×—0.4%
Similar companies (median)17.0×2.3×2.3×—0.5%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Joongang Advanced Materials / 중앙첨단소재 / 051980 / KRX:051980

Source: KRX statistical information