Ocean In W오션인더블유
052300 · KOSDAQ · ₩052300 · 오션인더블유
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩1,324
vs the current price (₩1,352)
- Enterprise value
- −₩107B
- Equity value
- ₩22B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩2,717
- +101.0%
- Base
- ₩1,324
- −2.1%
- Bull
- —
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−10.9%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-67.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-67.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-67.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-67.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-67.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -10.9%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 151.8%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 189.8%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.06, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩26B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩92B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩107B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩71B
- Shares
- 16,244,128
- Share price
- ₩1,352
- Market cap
- ₩22B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩12B | ₩6.8B | ₩7.6B | ₩23B | ₩22B | ₩21B | ₩21B | ₩22B |
| Growth | −94.5% | −42.7% | 11.3% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩683M | −₩3.3B | −₩2.5B | −₩2.5B | −₩2.4B | −₩2.3B | −₩2.3B | −₩2.3B |
| EBIT margin | −5.8% | −48.0% | −32.4% | −10.9% | −10.9% | −10.9% | −10.9% | −10.9% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩495M | −₩2.4B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.8B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.7B | −₩1.7B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩35B | ₩33B | ₩32B | ₩32B | ₩33B |
| − Capital spending | ₩875M | ₩38B | ₩160M | ₩44B | ₩41B | ₩40B | ₩40B | ₩41B |
| − Working capital | ₩282B | −₩322B | ₩40B | −₩1B | −₩624M | −₩304M | −₩17M | ₩251M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | −₩9.7B | −₩9.3B | −₩9.3B | −₩9.6B | −₩10B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | −₩9B | −₩8.1B | −₩7.5B | −₩7.2B | −₩7.1B |
Terminal value −₩97B, worth −₩68B today: 64% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩16,923 a share)Now 0.08× | ₩1,4680.09× | ₩3,8970.23× | ₩10,0140.59× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩1,174 | ₩676 | ₩65 | — | — |
| 6.9% | ₩1,658 | ₩1,249 | ₩757 | ₩152 | — |
| 7.4% | ₩2,069 | ₩1,728 | ₩1,324 | ₩837 | ₩239 |
| 7.9% | ₩2,422 | ₩2,134 | ₩1,797 | ₩1,397 | ₩915 |
| 8.4% | ₩2,730 | ₩2,483 | ₩2,198 | ₩1,865 | ₩1,469 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩22B
- Enterprise value
- −₩72B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.1×
- P/S
- 0.8×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩1,765 | ₩2,413 | ₩3,876 | ₩4,109 | ₩10,696 |
| Market cap | ₩29B | ₩39B | ₩63B | ₩67B | ₩174B |
| P/E | — | 1.9× | — | — | 2.7× |
| P/B | 0.1× | 0.1× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.6× |
| P/S | 3.8× | 5.8× | 5.3× | 0.3× | 2.8× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ocean In W | — | 0.1× | 0.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Samsung C&T | 18.8× | 0.5× | 1.2× | — | 0.9% |
| POSCO International | 10.6× | 1.3× | 0.3× | — | 3.7% |
| ISC | 45.3× | 6.0× | 12.6× | — | 0.5% |
| Youngone | 5.1× | 0.7× | 0.7× | — | 3.1% |
| Dong SUH Companies | 18.9× | 1.6× | 5.1× | — | 4.2% |
| Shinsegae | 14.4× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 2.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 16.6× | 1.0× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Ocean In W / 오션인더블유 / 052300 / KRX:052300
Source: KRX statistical information