FreeMs프리엠스
053160 · KOSDAQ · ₩053160 · 프리엠스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩2,166
vs the current price (₩8,130)
- Enterprise value
- ₩2.1M
- Equity value
- ₩13B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 73% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩8,130, the model needs an operating margin of 16.3% every year (it uses 0.8%).
- Margins ranged from −13.3% to 3.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
- 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 36.9× against a typical 36.9× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩1,782
- −78.1%
- Base
- ₩2,166
- −73.4%
- Bull
- ₩3,019
- −62.9%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.8%).
Revenue growth
- -7.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -5.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 0.8%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 0.7%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 1.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.25, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩21B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩13B
- Shares
- 6,000,000
- Share price
- ₩8,130
- Market cap
- ₩49B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩23B | ₩18B | ₩23B | ₩19B | ₩18B | ₩18B | ₩18B | ₩18B |
| Growth | −22.6% | −22.9% | 30.7% | −7.9% | −5.2% | −2.5% | 0.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩12M | −₩2.3B | ₩388M | ₩154M | ₩146M | ₩143M | ₩143M | ₩147M |
| EBIT margin | −0.1% | −13.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩8.9M | −₩1.7B | ₩281M | ₩112M | ₩106M | ₩103M | ₩104M | ₩107M |
| + Depreciation | ₩216M | ₩180M | ₩66M | ₩135M | ₩128M | ₩125M | ₩125M | ₩129M |
| − Capital spending | ₩192M | ₩513M | ₩229M | ₩309M | ₩293M | ₩285M | ₩286M | ₩295M |
| − Working capital | −₩6.6B | −₩7.1B | ₩8.5B | −₩662M | −₩401M | −₩183M | ₩21M | ₩215M |
| Free cash flow | ₩6.6B | ₩5.1B | −₩8.4B | ₩600M | ₩343M | ₩126M | −₩79M | −₩274M |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩559M | ₩297M | ₩102M | −₩59M | −₩191M |
Terminal value −₩1B, worth −₩705M today: -33338% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩11,945 a share)Now 0.68× | ₩8,0830.68× | ₩11,1140.93× | ₩16,8251.41× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩220 a share)Now 36.9× | ₩6,31528.6× | ₩8,13036.9× | ₩15,16868.8× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,084 a share)Now 7.50× | ₩31,04928.6× | ₩39,97536.9× | ₩74,58068.8× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩2,330 | ₩2,242 | ₩2,133 | ₩1,995 | ₩1,815 |
| 6.9% | ₩2,325 | ₩2,247 | ₩2,152 | ₩2,034 | ₩1,884 |
| 7.4% | ₩2,321 | ₩2,251 | ₩2,166 | ₩2,064 | ₩1,937 |
| 7.9% | ₩2,317 | ₩2,254 | ₩2,179 | ₩2,089 | ₩1,980 |
| 8.4% | ₩2,314 | ₩2,256 | ₩2,189 | ₩2,109 | ₩2,014 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩49B
- Enterprise value
- ₩36B
- P/E
- 36.9×
- P/B
- 0.7×
- P/S
- 2.3×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩6,790 | ₩13,610 | ₩13,900 | ₩6,780 | ₩19,450 |
| Market cap | ₩41B | ₩82B | ₩83B | ₩41B | ₩117B |
| P/E | 45.3× | — | 113.6× | 30.4× | 95.9× |
| P/B | 0.6× | 1.5× | 1.4× | 0.7× | 2.0× |
| P/S | 1.8× | 4.6× | 3.6× | 1.4× | 4.6× |
| EV/EBITDA | 61.1× | — | 334.1× | 37.3× | 114.1× |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FreeMs | 36.9× | 0.7× | 2.3× | — | 0.0% |
| LS Electric | 63.5× | 11.6× | 4.3× | 39.3× | 0.0% |
| Hyosung Heavy Industries | 31.8× | 7.2× | 2.9× | — | 0.4% |
| HD Hyundai Electric | 19.6× | 7.4× | 3.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Gaon Cable | 117.0× | 14.2× | 2.6× | 61.1× | 0.0% |
| Sanil Electric | 27.9× | 7.6× | 8.5× | — | 0.8% |
| Taihan Cable & Solution | — | 2.3× | 1.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 31.8× | 7.5× | 3.4× | 50.2× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: FreeMs / 프리엠스 / 053160 / KRX:053160
Source: KRX statistical information