FreeMs

053160 · KOSDAQ · ₩053160 · 프리엠스

₩8,130▼ ₩80 (0.97%)End-of-day · Oct 28, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩2,166

vs the current price (₩8,130)

Enterprise value
₩2.1M
Equity value
₩13B
WACC
7.4%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 73% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩8,130, the model needs an operating margin of 16.3% every year (it uses 0.8%).
  • Margins ranged from −13.3% to 3.2% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • Today's P/E is 36.9× against a typical 36.9× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩1,782
−78.1%
Base
₩2,166
−73.4%
Bull
₩3,019
−62.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (0.8%).

Revenue growth

  • -7.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -5.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 0.8%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 0.7%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 1.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.25, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩21B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩13B
Shares
6,000,000
Share price
₩8,130
Market cap
₩49B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩23B₩18B₩23B₩19B₩18B₩18B₩18B₩18B
Growth−22.6%−22.9%30.7%−7.9%−5.2%−2.5%0.3%3.0%
EBIT−₩12M−₩2.3B₩388M₩154M₩146M₩143M₩143M₩147M
EBIT margin−0.1%−13.3%1.7%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%
After-tax EBIT−₩8.9M−₩1.7B₩281M₩112M₩106M₩103M₩104M₩107M
+ Depreciation₩216M₩180M₩66M₩135M₩128M₩125M₩125M₩129M
− Capital spending₩192M₩513M₩229M₩309M₩293M₩285M₩286M₩295M
− Working capital−₩6.6B−₩7.1B₩8.5B−₩662M−₩401M−₩183M₩21M₩215M
Free cash flow₩6.6B₩5.1B−₩8.4B₩600M₩343M₩126M−₩79M−₩274M
Discount factor———0.9310.8670.8070.7510.700
Present value———₩559M₩297M₩102M−₩59M−₩191M

Terminal value −₩1B, worth −₩705M today: -33338% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩11,945 a share)Now 0.68×₩8,0830.68×₩11,1140.93×₩16,8251.41×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩220 a share)Now 36.9×₩6,31528.6×₩8,13036.9×₩15,16868.8×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,084 a share)Now 7.50×₩31,04928.6×₩39,97536.9×₩74,58068.8×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.4%₩2,330₩2,242₩2,133₩1,995₩1,815
6.9%₩2,325₩2,247₩2,152₩2,034₩1,884
7.4%₩2,321₩2,251₩2,166₩2,064₩1,937
7.9%₩2,317₩2,254₩2,179₩2,089₩1,980
8.4%₩2,314₩2,256₩2,189₩2,109₩2,014

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩49B
Enterprise value
₩36B
P/E
36.9×
P/B
0.7×
P/S
2.3×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩6,790₩13,610₩13,900₩6,780₩19,450
Market cap₩41B₩82B₩83B₩41B₩117B
P/E45.3×—113.6×30.4×95.9×
P/B0.6×1.5×1.4×0.7×2.0×
P/S1.8×4.6×3.6×1.4×4.6×
EV/EBITDA61.1×—334.1×37.3×114.1×
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
FreeMs36.9×0.7×2.3×—0.0%
LS Electric63.5×11.6×4.3×39.3×0.0%
Hyosung Heavy Industries31.8×7.2×2.9×—0.4%
HD Hyundai Electric19.6×7.4×3.8×—0.0%
Gaon Cable117.0×14.2×2.6×61.1×0.0%
Sanil Electric27.9×7.6×8.5×—0.8%
Taihan Cable & Solution—2.3×1.0×—0.0%
Similar companies (median)31.8×7.5×3.4×50.2×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: FreeMs / 프리엠스 / 053160 / KRX:053160

Source: KRX statistical information