NE Neungyule

053290 · KOSDAQ · ₩053290 · NE능률

₩1,223▼ ₩36 (2.86%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩2,298

vs the current price (₩1,223)

Enterprise value
−₩1B
Equity value
₩38B
WACC
7.3%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Why the model and the price differ

The model is 88% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:

  • To match today's price of ₩1,223, the model needs an operating margin of −1.6% every year (it uses 2.1%).
  • Margins ranged from −1.5% to 8.4% over the last 5 years, so this is a cyclical business. The model uses the average; the price may be set by where the cycle is now. Try the margin fade option.
  • 100% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
  • In the projection, spending on equipment, software and working capital takes most or all of the after-tax operating profit, so free cash flow is thin. Companies that invest heavily often look like this until spending slows.
  • Today's P/E is 4.9× against a typical 20.4× over the last 10 years.

Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩2,015
+64.7%
Base
₩2,298
+87.9%
Bull
₩2,939
+140.3%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (2.1%).

Revenue growth

  • -7.9%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -5.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -2.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 0.3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-7.9% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 2.1%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 10.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 12.6%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 104 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.03, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩43B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩39B
+ Stakes and investments
₩379M
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
Shares
16,526,307
Share price
₩1,223
Market cap
₩20B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩79B₩72B₩63B₩39B₩37B₩36B₩36B₩38B
Growth−1.3%−9.4%−12.6%−7.9%−5.2%−2.4%0.3%3.0%
EBIT₩1.1B−₩1B₩1.1B₩825M₩782M₩763M₩766M₩789M
EBIT margin1.4%−1.5%1.7%2.1%2.1%2.1%2.1%2.1%
After-tax EBIT₩807M−₩760M₩775M₩598M₩567M₩553M₩555M₩572M
+ Depreciation———₩4B₩3.8B₩3.7B₩3.7B₩3.8B
− Capital spending₩9.9B₩10B₩7.1B₩5B₩4.7B₩4.6B₩4.6B₩4.7B
− Working capital₩7.3B−₩7.1B−₩11B−₩1.3B−₩817M−₩358M₩44M₩438M
Free cash flow———₩964M₩453M₩2.2M−₩400M−₩805M
Discount factor———0.9320.8680.8090.7540.703
Present value———₩898M₩394M₩1.8M−₩302M−₩566M

Terminal value −₩2.1B, worth −₩1.5B today: 141% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩4,156 a share)Now 0.29×₩1,6730.40×₩3,4210.82×₩6,0931.47×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩252 a share)Now 4.85×₩1,7156.80×₩5,14220.4×₩16,49765.4×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,978 a share)Now 0.41×₩20,2586.80×₩60,73720.4×₩194,86965.4×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
6.3%₩2,421₩2,354₩2,271₩2,165₩2,027
6.8%₩2,418₩2,358₩2,286₩2,196₩2,082
7.3%₩2,415₩2,362₩2,298₩2,220₩2,124
7.8%₩2,413₩2,365₩2,308₩2,240₩2,157
8.3%₩2,411₩2,368₩2,317₩2,257₩2,184

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩20B
Enterprise value
−₩19B
P/E
4.9×
P/B
0.3×
P/S
0.5×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩1,800₩3,640₩5,020₩3,770₩11,400
Market cap₩30B₩60B₩83B₩62B₩188B
P/E——77.7×13.7×44.6×
P/B0.4×0.7×1.0×0.7×2.3×
P/S0.5×0.8×1.0×0.8×2.4×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%————

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
NE Neungyule4.9×0.3×0.5×—0.0%
CJ ENM—0.3×0.2×—0.0%
Seoul Broadcasting System109.3×0.2×0.2×—3.0%
KT Skylife73.5×0.3×0.2×—9.5%
Mega Study5.3×0.5×1.3×—10.1%
LG HelloVision—0.2×0.1×3.1×0.0%
The Korea Economic Broadcasting17.9×0.7×1.1×—3.3%
Similar companies (median)45.7×0.3×0.2×3.1×3.1%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: NE Neungyule / NE능률 / 053290 / KRX:053290

Source: KRX statistical information