Initech이니텍
053350 · KOSDAQ · ₩053350 · 이니텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩3,608
vs the current price (₩5,060)
- Enterprise value
- −₩19B
- Equity value
- ₩79B
- WACC
- 7.4%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩3,683
- −27.2%
- Base
- ₩3,608
- −28.7%
- Bull
- ₩3,601
- −28.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (−4.7%).
Revenue growth
- -10%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-15.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -6.7%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-15.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-15.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-15.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-15.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- -4.7%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 1.3%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 1.6%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.11%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta -0.04, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.61%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩35B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩98B
- Shares
- 22,021,065
- Share price
- ₩5,060
- Market cap
- ₩111B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩46B | ₩39B | ₩33B | ₩32B | ₩29B | ₩28B | ₩28B | ₩29B |
| Growth | −15.2% | −14.8% | −15.6% | −10.0% | −6.7% | −3.5% | −0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | −₩3.5B | ₩231M | −₩2.4B | −₩1.5B | −₩1.4B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.3B | −₩1.4B |
| EBIT margin | −7.8% | 0.6% | −7.3% | −4.7% | −4.7% | −4.7% | −4.7% | −4.7% |
| After-tax EBIT | −₩2.6B | ₩167M | −₩1.7B | −₩1.1B | −₩1B | −₩969M | −₩967M | −₩996M |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩410M | ₩383M | ₩370M | ₩369M | ₩380M |
| − Capital spending | ₩741M | ₩334M | ₩762M | ₩505M | ₩471M | ₩455M | ₩454M | ₩468M |
| − Working capital | −₩86B | ₩7.9B | ₩23B | −₩1.4B | −₩846M | −₩412M | −₩23M | ₩340M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩233M | −₩246M | −₩641M | −₩1B | −₩1.4B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.931 | 0.867 | 0.807 | 0.751 | 0.700 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩217M | −₩213M | −₩518M | −₩773M | −₩996M |
Terminal value −₩24B, worth −₩17B today: 88% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩6,489 a share)Now 0.78× | ₩3,8680.60× | ₩4,6960.72× | ₩10,3361.59× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩1,172 a share)Now 4.32× | ₩11,72310.0× | ₩22,13518.9× | ₩102,14187.2× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | ₩3,648 | ₩3,531 | ₩3,387 | ₩3,206 | ₩2,970 |
| 6.9% | ₩3,726 | ₩3,627 | ₩3,509 | ₩3,363 | ₩3,179 |
| 7.4% | ₩3,791 | ₩3,708 | ₩3,608 | ₩3,488 | ₩3,340 |
| 7.9% | ₩3,847 | ₩3,775 | ₩3,690 | ₩3,590 | ₩3,468 |
| 8.4% | ₩3,896 | ₩3,833 | ₩3,760 | ₩3,674 | ₩3,572 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩111B
- Enterprise value
- ₩13B
- P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.8×
- P/S
- 3.2×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩4,090 | ₩3,250 | ₩3,240 | ₩3,530 | ₩5,360 |
| Market cap | ₩90B | ₩72B | ₩71B | ₩78B | ₩118B |
| P/E | 31.8× | 30.6× | — | 386.7× | 22.3× |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.6× | 0.6× | 0.7× | 1.0× |
| P/S | 2.7× | 1.8× | 1.6× | 1.4× | 2.3× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | — | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Initech | — | 0.8× | 3.2× | — | 0.0% |
| Hyundai Autoever | 46.8× | 4.7× | 2.0× | — | 0.6% |
| Krafton | 10.0× | 1.2× | 1.9× | — | 1.2% |
| NC | 6.9× | 1.2× | 2.0× | 8.3× | 0.6% |
| Netmarble | 7.1× | 0.5× | 1.0× | — | 2.6% |
| PearlAbyss | 7.9× | 2.0× | 3.0× | 5.1× | 0.0% |
| Shift UP | 9.0× | 1.8× | 7.1× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 8.4× | 1.5× | 2.0× | 6.7× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Initech / 이니텍 / 053350 / KRX:053350
Source: KRX statistical information