Sekonix

053450 · KOSDAQ · ₩053450 · 세코닉스

₩3,045▲ ₩55 (1.84%)End-of-day · Oct 27, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
Trade
Alert me

Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩2,166

vs the current price (₩3,045)

Enterprise value
₩49B
Equity value
₩32B
WACC
6.5%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
—
Base
₩2,166
−28.9%
Bull
₩15,160
+397.9%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in

Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (1.9%).

Revenue growth

  • -3.2%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -1.7%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • -0.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 1.4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-3.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 1.9%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 3.9%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).

  • 4.9%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 17.9%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.11%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-28.

  • 0.6

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.23, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.61%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩400B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
₩18B
+ Stakes and investments
₩1.5B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩492M
Shares
14,792,803
Share price
₩3,045
Market cap
₩45B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩502B₩463B₩435B₩388B₩381B₩381B₩386B₩398B
Growth4.7%−7.9%−6.0%−3.2%−1.7%−0.1%1.4%3.0%
EBIT₩16B₩14B₩3B₩7.4B₩7.2B₩7.2B₩7.3B₩7.6B
EBIT margin3.2%3.1%0.7%1.9%1.9%1.9%1.9%1.9%
After-tax EBIT₩12B₩10B₩2.2B₩5.3B₩5.2B₩5.2B₩5.3B₩5.5B
+ Depreciation———₩15B₩15B₩15B₩15B₩16B
− Capital spending₩20B₩20B₩27B₩19B₩19B₩19B₩19B₩19B
− Working capital₩12B−₩5.9B₩38B−₩2.3B−₩1.2B−₩68M₩954M₩2.1B
Free cash flow———₩3.8B₩2.6B₩1.5B₩503M−₩572M
Discount factor———0.9390.8820.8290.7790.731
Present value———₩3.5B₩2.3B₩1.2B₩392M−₩418M

Terminal value ₩57B, worth ₩42B today: 86% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩7,655 a share)Now 0.40×₩3,9920.52×₩5,6170.73×₩9,2971.21×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
5.5%₩3,117₩3,142₩3,169₩3,199₩3,234
6.0%₩2,653₩2,633₩2,603₩2,560₩2,496
6.5%₩2,275₩2,228₩2,166₩2,083₩1,972
7.0%₩1,962₩1,898₩1,817₩1,715₩1,582
7.5%₩1,699₩1,624₩1,534₩1,421₩1,279

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩45B
Enterprise value
₩62B
P/E
—
P/B
0.4×
P/S
0.1×
EV/EBITDA
—
Dividend yield
0.0%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩5,350₩5,440₩7,020₩5,370₩9,040
Market cap₩79B₩80B₩104B₩79B₩134B
P/E16.6×8.1×9.1×—32.4×
P/B0.6×0.6×0.8×0.7×1.4×
P/S0.2×0.2×0.2×0.2×0.3×
EV/EBITDA—————
Dividend yield0.0%0.9%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Sekonix—0.4×0.1×—0.0%
TSE27.5×6.1×5.1×—0.2%
Kctech20.8×3.2×3.8×16.1×0.5%
Classys12.6×3.1×4.7×9.8×3.8%
Park Systems68.1×4.6×8.1×—0.2%
Curiox Biosystems—21.9×187.1×—0.0%
DI36.7×5.0×2.2×—0.7%
Similar companies (median)27.5×4.8×4.9×13.0×0.4%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Sekonix / 세코닉스 / 053450 / KRX:053450

Source: KRX statistical information