Protec프로텍
053610 · KOSDAQ · ₩053610 · 프로텍
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩80,036
vs the current price (₩60,600)
- Enterprise value
- ₩600B
- Equity value
- ₩720B
- WACC
- 8.8%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩59,499
- −1.8%
- Base
- ₩80,036
- +32.1%
- Bull
- ₩111,815
- +84.5%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
Sign in to change the assumptions and see the results update. Sign in
Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (21.6%).
Revenue growth
- 5.1%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3.5%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 21.6%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 4.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 8.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 40%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.87
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.8, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩275B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩139B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩11B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- − Minority interests
- ₩28B
- Shares
- 9,000,000
- Share price
- ₩60,600
- Market cap
- ₩545B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩156B | ₩170B | ₩231B | ₩289B | ₩303B | ₩315B | ₩326B | ₩336B |
| Growth | −21.5% | 9.1% | 35.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩17B | ₩13B | ₩46B | ₩63B | ₩65B | ₩68B | ₩70B | ₩73B |
| EBIT margin | 11.2% | 7.9% | 20.1% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 21.6% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩13B | ₩9.7B | ₩34B | ₩45B | ₩47B | ₩49B | ₩51B | ₩53B |
| + Depreciation | ₩6.8B | ₩7.8B | ₩7.8B | ₩12B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩14B |
| − Capital spending | ₩8.2B | ₩6.1B | ₩36B | ₩24B | ₩25B | ₩26B | ₩27B | ₩28B |
| − Working capital | −₩674M | ₩63B | ₩1.1B | ₩5.6B | ₩5.3B | ₩4.8B | ₩4.4B | ₩3.9B |
| Free cash flow | ₩12B | −₩51B | ₩3.9B | ₩28B | ₩30B | ₩32B | ₩33B | ₩35B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.919 | 0.845 | 0.777 | 0.714 | 0.656 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩26B | ₩25B | ₩25B | ₩24B | ₩23B |
Terminal value ₩728B, worth ₩478B today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩44,167 a share)Now 1.37× | ₩31,2940.71× | ₩44,4831.01× | ₩75,5441.71× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩9,686 a share)Now 6.26× | ₩40,8074.21× | ₩94,4279.75× | ₩161,08116.6× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩15,594 a share)Now 3.89× | ₩65,6984.21× | ₩152,0249.75× | ₩259,33416.6× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.8% | ₩83,898 | ₩87,870 | ₩92,518 | ₩98,035 | ₩104,693 |
| 8.3% | ₩78,624 | ₩81,940 | ₩85,775 | ₩90,264 | ₩95,591 |
| 8.8% | ₩74,037 | ₩76,834 | ₩80,036 | ₩83,738 | ₩88,072 |
| 9.3% | ₩70,013 | ₩72,393 | ₩75,093 | ₩78,184 | ₩81,758 |
| 9.8% | ₩66,455 | ₩68,496 | ₩70,794 | ₩73,399 | ₩76,382 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩545B
- Enterprise value
- ₩407B
- P/E
- 6.3×
- P/B
- 1.4×
- P/S
- 2.0×
- EV/EBITDA
- 5.1×
- Dividend yield
- 0.7%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩34,150 | ₩21,850 | ₩45,650 | ₩21,200 | ₩26,850 |
| Market cap | ₩307B | ₩197B | ₩411B | ₩191B | ₩242B |
| P/E | 6.5× | 9.1× | 19.9× | 4.4× | 5.1× |
| P/B | 0.9× | 0.6× | 1.4× | 0.7× | 1.0× |
| P/S | 1.3× | 1.2× | 2.6× | 1.0× | 1.4× |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.4× | 8.6× | 14.3× | 2.2× | 3.8× |
| Dividend yield | 1.2% | 1.8% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Protec | 6.3× | 1.4× | 2.0× | 5.1× | 0.7% |
| Doosan Enerbility | 193.9× | 4.3× | 2.0× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanmi Semiconductor | 78.4× | 23.3× | 31.6× | 70.6× | 0.4% |
| Jusung Engineering | 1,058.2× | 13.0× | 34.0× | 2,036.0× | 0.0% |
| Rainbow Robotics | 4,137.6× | 53.0× | 156.2× | — | 0.0% |
| EO Technics | 44.1× | 6.4× | 10.8× | — | 0.0% |
| Doosan Bobcat | 13,622.5× | 911.6× | 733.9× | — | 3.5% |
| Similar companies (median) | 626.0× | 18.1× | 32.8× | 1,053.3× | 0.0% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Protec / 프로텍 / 053610 / KRX:053610
Source: KRX statistical information