Protec

053610 · KOSDAQ · ₩053610 · 프로텍

₩60,600▼ ₩4,100 (6.34%)End-of-day · Oct 30, 2026 · End-of-day prices.
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Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)

We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.

Fair value per share

₩80,036

vs the current price (₩60,600)

Enterprise value
₩600B
Equity value
₩720B
WACC
8.8%

Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.

Bear / Base / Bull

Bear
₩59,499
−1.8%
Base
₩80,036
+32.1%
Bull
₩111,815
+84.5%

Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.

Assumptions

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Cycle options

Margin path

Every year uses the cycle-average margin (21.6%).

Revenue growth

  • 5.1%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4.6%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 4%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3.5%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

  • 3%

    How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.

    Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (5.1% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.

Business

  • 21.6%

    Operating profit as a share of revenue.

    Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.

  • 27.5%

    Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.

    Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.

  • 4.1%

    The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 8.2%

    Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).

    Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).

  • 40%

    Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.

    Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.

Discount rate

  • 2%

    How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.

    Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.

  • 4.01%

    Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.

    Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.

  • 0.87

    How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.

    Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.8, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.

  • 5.5%

    The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.

    Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.

  • 5.51%

    The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.

    Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.

Starting point

Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
₩275B
Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
−₩139B
+ Stakes and investments
₩11B
Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
− Minority interests
₩28B
Shares
9,000,000
Share price
₩60,600
Market cap
₩545B

TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.

Past years and projection

Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.

FY2023FY2024FY2025Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Revenue₩156B₩170B₩231B₩289B₩303B₩315B₩326B₩336B
Growth−21.5%9.1%35.4%5.1%4.6%4.0%3.5%3.0%
EBIT₩17B₩13B₩46B₩63B₩65B₩68B₩70B₩73B
EBIT margin11.2%7.9%20.1%21.6%21.6%21.6%21.6%21.6%
After-tax EBIT₩13B₩9.7B₩34B₩45B₩47B₩49B₩51B₩53B
+ Depreciation₩6.8B₩7.8B₩7.8B₩12B₩12B₩13B₩13B₩14B
− Capital spending₩8.2B₩6.1B₩36B₩24B₩25B₩26B₩27B₩28B
− Working capital−₩674M₩63B₩1.1B₩5.6B₩5.3B₩4.8B₩4.4B₩3.9B
Free cash flow₩12B−₩51B₩3.9B₩28B₩30B₩32B₩33B₩35B
Discount factor———0.9190.8450.7770.7140.656
Present value———₩26B₩25B₩25B₩24B₩23B

Terminal value ₩728B, worth ₩478B today: 80% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.

Cross-check: what the market has paid before

For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:

LowTypicalHigh
Price / book (book value ₩44,167 a share)Now 1.37×₩31,2940.71×₩44,4831.01×₩75,5441.71×
Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩9,686 a share)Now 6.26×₩40,8074.21×₩94,4279.75×₩161,08116.6×
P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩15,594 a share)Now 3.89×₩65,6984.21×₩152,0249.75×₩259,33416.6×

Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.

Sensitivity

Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.

WACC ↓ · Terminal growth →1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%
7.8%₩83,898₩87,870₩92,518₩98,035₩104,693
8.3%₩78,624₩81,940₩85,775₩90,264₩95,591
8.8%₩74,037₩76,834₩80,036₩83,738₩88,072
9.3%₩70,013₩72,393₩75,093₩78,184₩81,758
9.8%₩66,455₩68,496₩70,794₩73,399₩76,382

Now (TTM)

Market cap
₩545B
Enterprise value
₩407B
P/E
6.3×
P/B
1.4×
P/S
2.0×
EV/EBITDA
5.1×
Dividend yield
0.7%

Over time (at each year end)

20252024202320222021
Price₩34,150₩21,850₩45,650₩21,200₩26,850
Market cap₩307B₩197B₩411B₩191B₩242B
P/E6.5×9.1×19.9×4.4×5.1×
P/B0.9×0.6×1.4×0.7×1.0×
P/S1.3×1.2×2.6×1.0×1.4×
EV/EBITDA5.4×8.6×14.3×2.2×3.8×
Dividend yield1.2%1.8%———

Versus similar companies

CompanyP/EP/BP/SEV/EBITDADividend yield
Protec6.3×1.4×2.0×5.1×0.7%
Doosan Enerbility193.9×4.3×2.0×—0.0%
Hanmi Semiconductor78.4×23.3×31.6×70.6×0.4%
Jusung Engineering1,058.2×13.0×34.0×2,036.0×0.0%
Rainbow Robotics4,137.6×53.0×156.2×—0.0%
EO Technics44.1×6.4×10.8×—0.0%
Doosan Bobcat13,622.5×911.6×733.9×—3.5%
Similar companies (median)626.0×18.1×32.8×1,053.3×0.0%

Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.

Also known as: Protec / 프로텍 / 053610 / KRX:053610

Source: KRX statistical information