Yooshin Engineering유신
054930 · KOSDAQ · ₩054930 · 유신
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩77,991
vs the current price (₩16,760)
- Enterprise value
- ₩179B
- Equity value
- ₩234B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Why the model and the price differ
The model is 365% away from today's price. A gap this size usually means the market expects something the past figures don't show yet, or the model leaves something out. What we can see:
- To match today's price of ₩16,760, the model needs an operating margin of 0.8% every year (it uses 3.4%).
- 38% of the last 12 months' net profit came from outside operations (stakes in other companies, interest, one-offs). The model adds those stakes at book value but doesn't project that income.
- Today's P/E is 3.6× against a typical 5.1× over the last 10 years.
Treat the model as a starting point: change the assumptions to the story you believe, and compare with the multiples check below.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩26,536
- +58.3%
- Base
- ₩77,991
- +365.3%
- Bull
- ₩170,113
- +915.0%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (3.4%).
Revenue growth
- 8.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 6.9%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 5.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 4.3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 3.4%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 5.1%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 6.4%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- -2.4%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.03, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩429B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- −₩25B
- + Stakes and investments
- ₩29B
- Associates, long-term financial assets and deposits (book value)
- Shares
- 3,000,000
- Share price
- ₩16,760
- Market cap
- ₩50B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩341B | ₩340B | ₩386B | ₩464B | ₩496B | ₩524B | ₩547B | ₩563B |
| Growth | 12.2% | −0.4% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩18B | ₩6B | ₩9.2B | ₩16B | ₩17B | ₩18B | ₩19B | ₩19B |
| EBIT margin | 5.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩13B | ₩4.4B | ₩6.7B | ₩11B | ₩12B | ₩13B | ₩13B | ₩14B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩24B | ₩25B | ₩27B | ₩28B | ₩29B |
| − Capital spending | ₩1.4B | ₩63B | ₩1.1B | ₩30B | ₩32B | ₩34B | ₩35B | ₩36B |
| − Working capital | −₩65B | −₩10B | −₩32B | −₩845M | −₩769M | −₩667M | −₩541M | −₩394M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩6.3B | ₩6.6B | ₩6.8B | ₩6.9B | ₩7B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.868 | 0.809 | 0.754 | 0.703 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩5.8B | ₩5.7B | ₩5.5B | ₩5.2B | ₩4.9B |
Terminal value ₩217B, worth ₩152B today: 85% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩52,640 a share)Now 0.32× | ₩21,7300.41× | ₩31,6510.60× | ₩49,0170.93× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩4,654 a share)Now 3.60× | ₩12,7952.75× | ₩23,9515.15× | ₩38,2108.21× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩6,342 a share)Now 2.64× | ₩17,4362.75× | ₩32,6375.15× | ₩52,0678.21× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩79,522 | ₩85,572 | ₩93,029 | ₩102,450 | ₩114,723 |
| 6.8% | ₩73,810 | ₩78,750 | ₩84,721 | ₩92,082 | ₩101,380 |
| 7.3% | ₩69,014 | ₩73,115 | ₩77,991 | ₩83,885 | ₩91,150 |
| 7.8% | ₩64,932 | ₩68,383 | ₩72,431 | ₩77,245 | ₩83,063 |
| 8.3% | ₩61,417 | ₩64,356 | ₩67,763 | ₩71,759 | ₩76,511 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩50B
- Enterprise value
- ₩16B
- P/E
- 3.6×
- P/B
- 0.3×
- P/S
- 0.1×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 5.4%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩22,650 | ₩23,400 | ₩33,000 | ₩32,200 | ₩18,000 |
| Market cap | ₩68B | ₩70B | ₩99B | ₩97B | ₩54B |
| P/E | 6.5× | 2.9× | 4.9× | 5.3× | 4.5× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.5× | 0.8× | 0.9× | 0.6× |
| P/S | 0.2× | 0.2× | 0.3× | 0.3× | 0.2× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 4.0% | 3.8% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yooshin Engineering | 3.6× | 0.3× | 0.1× | — | 5.4% |
| Samsung E&A | 18.2× | 2.4× | 1.3× | — | 1.3% |
| HD Hyundai Marine Solution | 22.0× | 8.3× | 3.4× | — | 2.4% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction | 91.7× | 5.6× | 6.1× | 45.6× | 1.6% |
| POSCO DX | 88.7× | 5.0× | 2.9× | — | 0.0% |
| Hanyang ENG | 7.3× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 3.5× | 0.0% |
| SemiFive | — | 1.9× | 3.5× | — | 0.0% |
| Similar companies (median) | 22.0× | 3.7× | 3.1× | 24.5× | 0.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Yooshin Engineering / 유신 / 054930 / KRX:054930
Source: KRX statistical information