Tapex테이팩스
055490 · KOSPI · ₩055490 · 테이팩스
Valuation model · Discounted cash flow (DCF)
We use a 5-year discounted cash flow: the value of the cash the business is expected to produce, in today's money.
Fair value per share
₩14,670
vs the current price (₩19,390)
- Enterprise value
- ₩71B
- Equity value
- ₩70B
- WACC
- 7.3%
Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal. This is not financial advice.
Bear / Base / Bull
- Bear
- ₩5,602
- −71.1%
- Base
- ₩14,670
- −24.3%
- Bull
- ₩30,994
- +59.8%
Bear: revenue growth 3 points lower every year, EBIT margin 2 points lower, WACC 1 point higher. Bull: the opposite.
Assumptions
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Cycle options
Margin path
Every year uses the cycle-average margin (6.2%).
Revenue growth
- -8.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -5.4%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- -2.6%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 0.2%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
- 3%
How much sales grow that year, compared with the year before.
Default: the last 3 years' revenue growth (-8.2% a year, annual reports), fading to 3% by year 5.
Business
- 6.2%
Operating profit as a share of revenue.
Default: through-the-cycle average of the last 12 months and the last 5 annual reports' operating margins.
- 27.5%
Share of operating profit paid as corporate tax.
Default: Korea's top corporate tax rate (25%) plus 10% local income tax.
- 10.6%
The non-cash cost of wearing out equipment, added back to cash flow (% of revenue).
Default: not in the statements, so 80% of capital spending (most spending replaces equipment that wears out).
- 13.2%
Money spent on factories, equipment, software and other long-term assets (% of revenue).
Default: average of the last 3 annual reports (cash flow statements; equipment and intangibles).
- 9.8%
Stock and unpaid customer bills, less unpaid supplier bills, as a % of revenue. Each year's extra revenue ties up this much more cash.
Default: working capital (current assets less cash and deposits, minus current liabilities other than borrowings) as a share of revenue, averaged over the last 3 years.
Discount rate
- 2%
How fast cash flows keep growing every year after year 5.
Default: about Korea's long-run inflation plus real growth.
- 4.01%
Yield on Korea's 10-year government bond: the return with almost no risk.
Default: Korea Treasury Bond 10-year yield on 2026-10-30.
- 0.6
How much the share moves when the market moves: 1 means just like the market.
Default: 105 weeks of weekly returns against KOSPI (official index); raw beta 0.19, adjusted toward 1 and kept between 0.6 and 2.0.
- 5.5%
The extra return investors want for owning shares instead of bonds.
Default: a typical premium for Korean shares.
- 5.51%
The interest rate the company would pay to borrow.
Default: the 10-year yield plus a 1.5% credit spread.
Starting point
- Revenue (TTM to H1 2026)
- ₩154B
- Net debt (borrowings and leases − cash and deposits)
- ₩1.1B
- Shares
- 4,786,650
- Share price
- ₩19,390
- Market cap
- ₩93B
TTM = trailing 12 months: the last four reported quarters added together. "TTM to H1 2026" is the 12 months up to the latest quarterly or half-year report (H1 = to the end of June). Year 1 grows from there.
Past years and projection
Grey columns are reported results from the annual reports (after-tax EBIT at the model's tax rate), so you can check the growth and margin assumptions against the past. Years 1–5 are the model.
| FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₩146B | ₩136B | ₩141B | ₩141B | ₩133B | ₩130B | ₩130B | ₩134B |
| Growth | −20.0% | −6.8% | 3.8% | −8.2% | −5.4% | −2.6% | 0.2% | 3.0% |
| EBIT | ₩6.6B | ₩1.4B | ₩2.5B | ₩8.7B | ₩8.3B | ₩8.1B | ₩8.1B | ₩8.3B |
| EBIT margin | 4.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
| After-tax EBIT | ₩4.8B | ₩1B | ₩1.8B | ₩6.3B | ₩6B | ₩5.8B | ₩5.9B | ₩6B |
| + Depreciation | — | — | — | ₩15B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩14B | ₩14B |
| − Capital spending | ₩29B | ₩19B | ₩8.2B | ₩19B | ₩18B | ₩17B | ₩17B | ₩18B |
| − Working capital | ₩1.4B | −₩14B | −₩11B | −₩1.2B | −₩746M | −₩340M | ₩25M | ₩383M |
| Free cash flow | — | — | — | ₩3.9B | ₩3.3B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.4B | ₩2.2B |
| Discount factor | — | — | — | 0.932 | 0.869 | 0.810 | 0.755 | 0.704 |
| Present value | — | — | — | ₩3.6B | ₩2.8B | ₩2.3B | ₩1.8B | ₩1.5B |
Terminal value ₩84B, worth ₩59B today: 83% of enterprise value. It assumes spending settles at 110% of depreciation once growth slows to the terminal rate.
Cross-check: what the market has paid before
For cyclical businesses, analysts check a DCF against the multiples the stock has traded at through past cycles. Price / book is the usual anchor for them: P/E looks highest at the bottom of a cycle, when earnings are smallest, and lowest at the top. The price each band would give today:
| Low | Typical | High | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / book (book value ₩33,505 a share)Now 0.58× | ₩14,4600.43× | ₩25,0550.75× | ₩95,3722.85× |
| Price / earnings (last 12 months: ₩1,897 a share)Now 10.2× | ₩21,41411.3× | ₩33,55017.7× | ₩72,90738.4× |
| P/E on run-rate earnings (Q2 2026 × 4: ₩2,675 a share)Now 7.25× | ₩30,19811.3× | ₩47,31017.7× | ₩102,81138.4× |
Low, typical and high are the 10th percentile, middle and 90th percentile of month-end multiples since 2021, each against the latest report out by then, per share at today's share count; loss years and P/E above 100 are left out. Run-rate earnings are one quarter × 4, not a forecast. Model estimate based on the assumptions shown. Not a price target and not a buy or sell signal.
Sensitivity
Fair value per share as two inputs change; the middle is the current case.
| WACC ↓ · Terminal growth → | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | ₩15,585 | ₩16,827 | ₩18,357 | ₩20,290 | ₩22,810 |
| 6.8% | ₩14,130 | ₩15,121 | ₩16,319 | ₩17,794 | ₩19,658 |
| 7.3% | ₩12,909 | ₩13,714 | ₩14,670 | ₩15,825 | ₩17,247 |
| 7.8% | ₩11,871 | ₩12,534 | ₩13,310 | ₩14,232 | ₩15,345 |
| 8.3% | ₩10,977 | ₩11,530 | ₩12,169 | ₩12,917 | ₩13,806 |
Now (TTM)
- Market cap
- ₩93B
- Enterprise value
- ₩92B
- P/E
- 10.2×
- P/B
- 0.6×
- P/S
- 0.6×
- EV/EBITDA
- —
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
Over time (at each year end)
| 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price | ₩13,990 | ₩12,720 | ₩28,850 | ₩52,400 | ₩81,400 |
| Market cap | ₩67B | ₩61B | ₩138B | ₩251B | ₩390B |
| P/E | 33.2× | 17.0× | 17.0× | 13.2× | 20.6× |
| P/B | 0.4× | 0.4× | 0.9× | 1.7× | 3.0× |
| P/S | 0.5× | 0.4× | 0.9× | 1.4× | 2.5× |
| EV/EBITDA | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dividend yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — |
Versus similar companies
| Company | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tapex | 10.2× | 0.6× | 0.6× | — | 0.0% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology | 5.8× | 0.5× | 0.3× | — | 4.0% |
| Kumho Tire | 3.1× | 0.6× | 0.3× | — | 0.0% |
| Pum-Tech Korea | 19.5× | 2.5× | 2.1× | — | 0.7% |
| Dongwon Systems | 9.7× | 0.7× | 0.4× | 5.7× | 2.8% |
| Nexen Tire | 3.7× | 0.3× | 0.2× | — | 3.4% |
| PI Advanced Materials | 12.0× | 1.2× | 1.6× | 4.8× | 2.4% |
| Similar companies (median) | 7.7× | 0.6× | 0.4× | 5.3× | 2.6% |
Calculated from end-of-day prices and filed financial statements. Not a recommendation. This is not financial advice.
Also known as: Tapex / 테이팩스 / 055490 / KRX:055490
Source: KRX statistical information